Recent model consensus and climatological norms for early June in the Sichuan Basin point to a daily high near 29–30°C for Chengdu on June 11, with the tight market spread reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover, timing of monsoon moisture, and localized urban effects. Persistent high humidity and light winds typical of the season moderate daytime heating, while any earlier-than-expected convective activity or thicker stratus could cap temperatures at the lower end of that range. Official observations from stations such as Chengdu Shuangliu will determine the exact maximum under standard 2-meter shelter protocols. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 24 hours remain the key variable that could shift the narrow 45–58% combined probability band between 29°C and 30°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 11?
30°C 30%
29°C 27%
28°C 16%
31°C 16%
$18,679 Объем
$18,679 Объем
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
8%
28°C
16%
29°C
27%
30°C
30%
31°C
16%
32°C
8%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 30%
29°C 27%
28°C 16%
31°C 16%
$18,679 Объем
$18,679 Объем
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
8%
28°C
16%
29°C
27%
30°C
30%
31°C
16%
32°C
8%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 9, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus and climatological norms for early June in the Sichuan Basin point to a daily high near 29–30°C for Chengdu on June 11, with the tight market spread reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover, timing of monsoon moisture, and localized urban effects. Persistent high humidity and light winds typical of the season moderate daytime heating, while any earlier-than-expected convective activity or thicker stratus could cap temperatures at the lower end of that range. Official observations from stations such as Chengdu Shuangliu will determine the exact maximum under standard 2-meter shelter protocols. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 24 hours remain the key variable that could shift the narrow 45–58% combined probability band between 29°C and 30°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы