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Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 2?

icon for Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 2?

Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 2?

32°C 28%

31°C 17%

33°C 17%

29°C 7%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

32°C 28%

31°C 17%

33°C 17%

29°C 7%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

26°C or below

$0 Объем

<1%

27°C

$0 Объем

<1%

28°C

$15 Объем

1%

29°C

$0 Объем

7%

30°C

$0 Объем

7%

31°C

$0 Объем

17%

32°C

$0 Объем

28%

33°C

$12 Объем

17%

34°C

$0 Объем

5%

35°C

$20 Объем

4%

36°C or higher

$0 Объем

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Kuala Lumpur’s July 2 daily maximum temperature centers on 31–33°C because these values align closely with the city’s long-term July climatology of roughly 32°C daytime highs amid its equatorial monsoon regime.** Current short-range guidance from models and agencies such as the Malaysian Meteorological Department and international ensembles shows a typical pattern of morning clearing followed by afternoon convective build-up, which often caps the peak near 32°C but allows brief excursions to 33–34°C on days with reduced cloud cover or stronger insolation. Recent late-June observations, with highs near 29–30°C under more persistent showers, have kept probabilities from concentrating on any single value, leaving 32°C as the modal outcome at 28% implied probability while 33°C and 31°C trail closely. Key differentiating variables in the final 48–72 hours include the timing and coverage of thundershowers (which reduce surface heating), boundary-layer moisture and wind direction tied to the prevailing southwesterly flow, and the urban heat-island amplification within the Klang Valley. Historical analogs for early July indicate that deviations beyond ±2°C from the mean are uncommon without a significant shift in the monsoon trough or an unusually clear day, explaining why tails below 30°C or at 35°C+ remain below 5–6%. New model runs and updated official forecasts over the next two days will likely tighten the distribution around these central outcomes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$47
Дата окончания
2 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Kuala Lumpur’s July 2 daily maximum temperature centers on 31–33°C because these values align closely with the city’s long-term July climatology of roughly 32°C daytime highs amid its equatorial monsoon regime.** Current short-range guidance from models and agencies such as the Malaysian Meteorological Department and international ensembles shows a typical pattern of morning clearing followed by afternoon convective build-up, which often caps the peak near 32°C but allows brief excursions to 33–34°C on days with reduced cloud cover or stronger insolation. Recent late-June observations, with highs near 29–30°C under more persistent showers, have kept probabilities from concentrating on any single value, leaving 32°C as the modal outcome at 28% implied probability while 33°C and 31°C trail closely. Key differentiating variables in the final 48–72 hours include the timing and coverage of thundershowers (which reduce surface heating), boundary-layer moisture and wind direction tied to the prevailing southwesterly flow, and the urban heat-island amplification within the Klang Valley. Historical analogs for early July indicate that deviations beyond ±2°C from the mean are uncommon without a significant shift in the monsoon trough or an unusually clear day, explaining why tails below 30°C or at 35°C+ remain below 5–6%. New model runs and updated official forecasts over the next two days will likely tighten the distribution around these central outcomes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$47
Дата окончания
2 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 2?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «32°C» с 28%, за ним следует «31°C» с 17%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 28¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 28%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 2?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jun 30, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 2?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 2?» — «32°C» с 28%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 28%. Следующий ближайший исход — «31°C» с 17%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 2?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.