Recent monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 30°C and 31°C for Lucknow’s September 7 maximum. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and numerical model consensus point to widespread showers and thunderstorms through the day, which limit solar heating and cap afternoon peaks near 29–31 °C. Light steering winds and high humidity further suppress diurnal rise, while any temporary breaks in cloud could allow brief warming toward 32 °C. Historical September averages in the region hover around 32–34 °C under clearer conditions, underscoring how current convective activity tilts probabilities downward. Fresh IMD forecast updates and satellite-derived rainfall estimates expected overnight will likely refine these narrow margins before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лакхнау 7 сентября?
30°C 37%
31°C 33%
29°C 17%
32°C 9%
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
17%
30°C
37%
31°C
33%
32°C
9%
33°C
4%
34°C или выше
<1%
30°C 37%
31°C 33%
29°C 17%
32°C 9%
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
17%
30°C
37%
31°C
33%
32°C
9%
33°C
4%
34°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 30°C and 31°C for Lucknow’s September 7 maximum. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and numerical model consensus point to widespread showers and thunderstorms through the day, which limit solar heating and cap afternoon peaks near 29–31 °C. Light steering winds and high humidity further suppress diurnal rise, while any temporary breaks in cloud could allow brief warming toward 32 °C. Historical September averages in the region hover around 32–34 °C under clearer conditions, underscoring how current convective activity tilts probabilities downward. Fresh IMD forecast updates and satellite-derived rainfall estimates expected overnight will likely refine these narrow margins before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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