Current National Weather Service and private model consensus for Austin on September 8 points to a mostly sunny day with highs of 98–99 °F under southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, consistent with the market’s leading 43.5 % probability for that bin. Recent runs show a modest warming trend from the mid-90s on September 6–7, supported by high pressure and heat indices near 110 °F. Historical September 8 averages near 93 °F, but 2026 conditions have trended above normal. Lower-probability bins above 102 °F would require stronger subsidence or model shifts not yet indicated, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely given the current steering pattern. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles will be the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 8 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 8 сентября?
98-99°F 34%
100-101°F 27%
96-97°F 19%
104-105°F 18%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 сент. 2026 г.
89°F или ниже
4%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
15%
96-97°F
19%
98-99°F
34%
100-101°F
27%
102-103°F
17%
104-105°F
18%
106-107°F
16%
108°F или выше
10%
98-99°F 34%
100-101°F 27%
96-97°F 19%
104-105°F 18%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 сент. 2026 г.
89°F или ниже
$0 Объем
4%
90-91°F
$0 Объем
1%
92-93°F
$0 Объем
10%
94-95°F
$0 Объем
15%
96-97°F
$0 Объем
19%
98-99°F
$832 Объем
34%
100-101°F
$0 Объем
27%
102-103°F
$0 Объем
17%
104-105°F
$0 Объем
18%
106-107°F
$0 Объем
16%
108°F или выше
$0 Объем
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private model consensus for Austin on September 8 points to a mostly sunny day with highs of 98–99 °F under southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, consistent with the market’s leading 43.5 % probability for that bin. Recent runs show a modest warming trend from the mid-90s on September 6–7, supported by high pressure and heat indices near 110 °F. Historical September 8 averages near 93 °F, but 2026 conditions have trended above normal. Lower-probability bins above 102 °F would require stronger subsidence or model shifts not yet indicated, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely given the current steering pattern. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 6, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Объем
$832Дата окончания
8 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 6, 2026, 2:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private model consensus for Austin on September 8 points to a mostly sunny day with highs of 98–99 °F under southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, consistent with the market’s leading 43.5 % probability for that bin. Recent runs show a modest warming trend from the mid-90s on September 6–7, supported by high pressure and heat indices near 110 °F. Historical September 8 averages near 93 °F, but 2026 conditions have trended above normal. Lower-probability bins above 102 °F would require stronger subsidence or model shifts not yet indicated, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely given the current steering pattern. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$832Дата окончания
8 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 6, 2026, 2:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and private model consensus for Austin on September 8 points to a mostly sunny day with highs of 98–99 °F under southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, consistent with the market’s leading 43.5 % probability for that bin. Recent runs show a modest warming trend from the mid-90s on September 6–7, supported by high pressure and heat indices near 110 °F. Historical September 8 averages near 93 °F, but 2026 conditions have trended above normal. Lower-probability bins above 102 °F would require stronger subsidence or model shifts not yet indicated, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely given the current steering pattern. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles will be the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы