Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs point to a high of 96–98°F for Austin on September 7, with partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds near 5 mph, and minimal precipitation risk supporting the tight clustering of market probabilities around the 96–101°F bins. Consensus guidance shows little day-to-day change from recent hot, stable conditions, though slight differences in afternoon mixing and cloud cover across models create the observed spread between 96–97°F and 100–101°F outcomes. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average highs reach 93°F but recent years have frequently exceeded 98°F under similar high-pressure patterns. Updated model runs and the next NWS discussion will likely refine the precise maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 7 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 7 сентября?
96-97°F 48%
100-101°F 44%
98-99°F 30%
94-95°F 22%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 сент. 2026 г.
87°F или ниже
4%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
13%
92-93°F
15%
94-95°F
22%
96-97°F
48%
98-99°F
30%
100-101°F
44%
102-103°F
17%
104-105°F
16%
106°F или выше
13%
96-97°F 48%
100-101°F 44%
98-99°F 30%
94-95°F 22%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 сент. 2026 г.
87°F или ниже
$0 Объем
4%
88-89°F
$0 Объем
2%
90-91°F
$0 Объем
13%
92-93°F
$0 Объем
15%
94-95°F
$0 Объем
22%
96-97°F
$0 Объем
48%
98-99°F
$0 Объем
30%
100-101°F
$0 Объем
44%
102-103°F
$0 Объем
17%
104-105°F
$0 Объем
16%
106°F или выше
$0 Объем
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs point to a high of 96–98°F for Austin on September 7, with partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds near 5 mph, and minimal precipitation risk supporting the tight clustering of market probabilities around the 96–101°F bins. Consensus guidance shows little day-to-day change from recent hot, stable conditions, though slight differences in afternoon mixing and cloud cover across models create the observed spread between 96–97°F and 100–101°F outcomes. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average highs reach 93°F but recent years have frequently exceeded 98°F under similar high-pressure patterns. Updated model runs and the next NWS discussion will likely refine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 5, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
7 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 5, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs point to a high of 96–98°F for Austin on September 7, with partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds near 5 mph, and minimal precipitation risk supporting the tight clustering of market probabilities around the 96–101°F bins. Consensus guidance shows little day-to-day change from recent hot, stable conditions, though slight differences in afternoon mixing and cloud cover across models create the observed spread between 96–97°F and 100–101°F outcomes. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average highs reach 93°F but recent years have frequently exceeded 98°F under similar high-pressure patterns. Updated model runs and the next NWS discussion will likely refine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
7 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 5, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs point to a high of 96–98°F for Austin on September 7, with partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds near 5 mph, and minimal precipitation risk supporting the tight clustering of market probabilities around the 96–101°F bins. Consensus guidance shows little day-to-day change from recent hot, stable conditions, though slight differences in afternoon mixing and cloud cover across models create the observed spread between 96–97°F and 100–101°F outcomes. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average highs reach 93°F but recent years have frequently exceeded 98°F under similar high-pressure patterns. Updated model runs and the next NWS discussion will likely refine the precise maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы