Active monsoon conditions, including a well-marked low-pressure area and widespread cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms, are the main factors capping daytime heating in Lucknow and keeping maximum temperatures near 31–32°C on September 5. Recent IMD observations show yesterday’s high at 29.5°C, 3.6°C below normal, amid elevated humidity and easterly winds that enhance evaporative cooling and limit insolation. Model consensus from sources such as WeatherBug and The Weather Network points to highs of 30–31°C, with some guidance reaching 33°C if afternoon clearing occurs. These values sit slightly below the long-term September average of 33–34°C, reflecting the ongoing surplus rainfall that has suppressed temperatures across Uttar Pradesh. Traders’ near-even split between the 31°C and 32°C outcomes captures the narrow margin of uncertainty tied to the timing and intensity of convective activity and any late-day breaks in cloud cover.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лакхнау 5 сентября?
31°C 44%
32°C 41%
30°C 8%
33°C 5%
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
44%
32°C
41%
33°C
5%
34°C или выше
1%
31°C 44%
32°C 41%
30°C 8%
33°C 5%
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
44%
32°C
41%
33°C
5%
34°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Active monsoon conditions, including a well-marked low-pressure area and widespread cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms, are the main factors capping daytime heating in Lucknow and keeping maximum temperatures near 31–32°C on September 5. Recent IMD observations show yesterday’s high at 29.5°C, 3.6°C below normal, amid elevated humidity and easterly winds that enhance evaporative cooling and limit insolation. Model consensus from sources such as WeatherBug and The Weather Network points to highs of 30–31°C, with some guidance reaching 33°C if afternoon clearing occurs. These values sit slightly below the long-term September average of 33–34°C, reflecting the ongoing surplus rainfall that has suppressed temperatures across Uttar Pradesh. Traders’ near-even split between the 31°C and 32°C outcomes captures the narrow margin of uncertainty tied to the timing and intensity of convective activity and any late-day breaks in cloud cover.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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