Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for September 4 points to a 25–29 °C range under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and northwesterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, reflecting the lingering influence of tropical cyclone activity and monsoon flow that has already capped recent daily maxima. These conditions reduce solar heating and evaporative cooling compared with clearer days, keeping the peak temperature probability tightly clustered around 28–30 °C in the market. Model consensus and historical September climatology for the region support modest afternoon warming only if showers remain light and winds weaken, while stronger or more persistent convection would favor the lower side of the distribution. Updated HKO briefings and real-time observations tomorrow morning will provide the clearest signal ahead of the daily maximum reading used for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 4 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 4 сентября?
29°C 33%
28°C 23%
30°C 22%
27°C 11%
НОВОЕ
$14,242 Объем
НОВОЕ
$14,242 Объем
4 сент. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
11%
28°C
23%
29°C
33%
30°C
22%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C или выше
1%
29°C 33%
28°C 23%
30°C 22%
27°C 11%
НОВОЕ
$14,242 Объем
НОВОЕ
$14,242 Объем
4 сент. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
$10,637 Объем
<1%
24°C
$10 Объем
<1%
25°C
$458 Объем
1%
26°C
$354 Объем
5%
27°C
$573 Объем
11%
28°C
$1,257 Объем
23%
29°C
$277 Объем
33%
30°C
$251 Объем
22%
31°C
$69 Объем
5%
32°C
$150 Объем
3%
33°C или выше
$206 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for September 4 points to a 25–29 °C range under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and northwesterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, reflecting the lingering influence of tropical cyclone activity and monsoon flow that has already capped recent daily maxima. These conditions reduce solar heating and evaporative cooling compared with clearer days, keeping the peak temperature probability tightly clustered around 28–30 °C in the market. Model consensus and historical September climatology for the region support modest afternoon warming only if showers remain light and winds weaken, while stronger or more persistent convection would favor the lower side of the distribution. Updated HKO briefings and real-time observations tomorrow morning will provide the clearest signal ahead of the daily maximum reading used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$14,242Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for September 4 points to a 25–29 °C range under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and northwesterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, reflecting the lingering influence of tropical cyclone activity and monsoon flow that has already capped recent daily maxima. These conditions reduce solar heating and evaporative cooling compared with clearer days, keeping the peak temperature probability tightly clustered around 28–30 °C in the market. Model consensus and historical September climatology for the region support modest afternoon warming only if showers remain light and winds weaken, while stronger or more persistent convection would favor the lower side of the distribution. Updated HKO briefings and real-time observations tomorrow morning will provide the clearest signal ahead of the daily maximum reading used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$14,242Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for September 4 points to a 25–29 °C range under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and northwesterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, reflecting the lingering influence of tropical cyclone activity and monsoon flow that has already capped recent daily maxima. These conditions reduce solar heating and evaporative cooling compared with clearer days, keeping the peak temperature probability tightly clustered around 28–30 °C in the market. Model consensus and historical September climatology for the region support modest afternoon warming only if showers remain light and winds weaken, while stronger or more persistent convection would favor the lower side of the distribution. Updated HKO briefings and real-time observations tomorrow morning will provide the clearest signal ahead of the daily maximum reading used for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы