Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with MetService and international sources, indicate daytime highs in Wellington on September 3 centering on 15–17°C under northwesterly flow, with partly cloudy skies, a chance of showers, and sustained winds around 20–25 mph. These conditions align with early-spring climatology, where average maximums reach about 13–14°C but can climb modestly with warmer advection from the Tasman Sea. Trader emphasis on 17°C (37.5%) and 16°C (26.5%) reflects model consensus for mild rather than peak spring warmth, tempered by cloud cover and precipitation that limit daytime heating. Historical records show rare excursions above 18°C this early in the month, while colder outcomes remain possible only if stronger southerly changes develop. Refined model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 3 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 3 сентября?
17°C 50%
16°C 27%
15°C 18%
18°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
10°C or below
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
18%
16°C
27%
17°C
38%
18°C
7%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
17°C 50%
16°C 27%
15°C 18%
18°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
10°C or below
$10 Объем
1%
11°C
$201 Объем
<1%
12°C
$281 Объем
<1%
13°C
$75 Объем
1%
14°C
$0 Объем
5%
15°C
$0 Объем
18%
16°C
$5 Объем
27%
17°C
$53 Объем
38%
18°C
$31 Объем
7%
19°C
$0 Объем
3%
20°C or higher
$57 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with MetService and international sources, indicate daytime highs in Wellington on September 3 centering on 15–17°C under northwesterly flow, with partly cloudy skies, a chance of showers, and sustained winds around 20–25 mph. These conditions align with early-spring climatology, where average maximums reach about 13–14°C but can climb modestly with warmer advection from the Tasman Sea. Trader emphasis on 17°C (37.5%) and 16°C (26.5%) reflects model consensus for mild rather than peak spring warmth, tempered by cloud cover and precipitation that limit daytime heating. Historical records show rare excursions above 18°C this early in the month, while colder outcomes remain possible only if stronger southerly changes develop. Refined model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$713Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with MetService and international sources, indicate daytime highs in Wellington on September 3 centering on 15–17°C under northwesterly flow, with partly cloudy skies, a chance of showers, and sustained winds around 20–25 mph. These conditions align with early-spring climatology, where average maximums reach about 13–14°C but can climb modestly with warmer advection from the Tasman Sea. Trader emphasis on 17°C (37.5%) and 16°C (26.5%) reflects model consensus for mild rather than peak spring warmth, tempered by cloud cover and precipitation that limit daytime heating. Historical records show rare excursions above 18°C this early in the month, while colder outcomes remain possible only if stronger southerly changes develop. Refined model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$713Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with MetService and international sources, indicate daytime highs in Wellington on September 3 centering on 15–17°C under northwesterly flow, with partly cloudy skies, a chance of showers, and sustained winds around 20–25 mph. These conditions align with early-spring climatology, where average maximums reach about 13–14°C but can climb modestly with warmer advection from the Tasman Sea. Trader emphasis on 17°C (37.5%) and 16°C (26.5%) reflects model consensus for mild rather than peak spring warmth, tempered by cloud cover and precipitation that limit daytime heating. Historical records show rare excursions above 18°C this early in the month, while colder outcomes remain possible only if stronger southerly changes develop. Refined model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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