A broad low-pressure trough and potential weak low moving across the northern South China Sea are the main drivers keeping 30°C and 31°C nearly tied in the market. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a September 1 maximum of 27–31°C under mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit solar heating, while northerly winds of force 4–5 further moderate daytime peaks. Ensemble forecasts show similar central tendencies near the long-term early-September climatology of roughly 30–31°C, with modest model spread on exact timing and coverage of rain. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable outcomes within the narrow 29–32°C band rather than extremes, pending any last-minute forecast shifts on precipitation intensity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 1 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 1 сентября?
31°C 34%
30°C 27%
29°C 16%
32°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
16%
30°C
27%
31°C
34%
32°C
13%
33°C
4%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 34%
30°C 27%
29°C 16%
32°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$110 Объем
<1%
26°C
$120 Объем
<1%
27°C
$10 Объем
2%
28°C
$0 Объем
5%
29°C
$68 Объем
16%
30°C
$76 Объем
27%
31°C
$49 Объем
34%
32°C
$105 Объем
13%
33°C
$144 Объем
4%
34°C
$60 Объем
4%
35°C or higher
$36 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.A broad low-pressure trough and potential weak low moving across the northern South China Sea are the main drivers keeping 30°C and 31°C nearly tied in the market. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a September 1 maximum of 27–31°C under mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit solar heating, while northerly winds of force 4–5 further moderate daytime peaks. Ensemble forecasts show similar central tendencies near the long-term early-September climatology of roughly 30–31°C, with modest model spread on exact timing and coverage of rain. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable outcomes within the narrow 29–32°C band rather than extremes, pending any last-minute forecast shifts on precipitation intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$778Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.A broad low-pressure trough and potential weak low moving across the northern South China Sea are the main drivers keeping 30°C and 31°C nearly tied in the market. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a September 1 maximum of 27–31°C under mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit solar heating, while northerly winds of force 4–5 further moderate daytime peaks. Ensemble forecasts show similar central tendencies near the long-term early-September climatology of roughly 30–31°C, with modest model spread on exact timing and coverage of rain. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable outcomes within the narrow 29–32°C band rather than extremes, pending any last-minute forecast shifts on precipitation intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$778Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...A broad low-pressure trough and potential weak low moving across the northern South China Sea are the main drivers keeping 30°C and 31°C nearly tied in the market. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a September 1 maximum of 27–31°C under mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit solar heating, while northerly winds of force 4–5 further moderate daytime peaks. Ensemble forecasts show similar central tendencies near the long-term early-September climatology of roughly 30–31°C, with modest model spread on exact timing and coverage of rain. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable outcomes within the narrow 29–32°C band rather than extremes, pending any last-minute forecast shifts on precipitation intensity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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