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icon for Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 1 сентября?

Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 1 сентября?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 1 сентября?

Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 1 сентября?

авг. 30

авг. 31

сент. 1

авг. 30

авг. 31

сент. 1

74-75°F 30%

72-73°F 27%

70-71°F 24%

68-69°F 11%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

74-75°F 30%

72-73°F 27%

70-71°F 24%

68-69°F 11%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

63°F или ниже

$0 Объем

<1%

64-65°F

$35 Объем

<1%

66-67°F

$77 Объем

3%

68-69°F

$0 Объем

11%

70-71°F

$10 Объем

24%

72-73°F

$141 Объем

27%

74-75°F

$0 Объем

30%

76-77°F

$0 Объем

9%

78-79°F

$0 Объем

3%

80-81°F

$0 Объем

<1%

82°F или выше

$7 Объем

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a building upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest will support daytime highs in the low-to-mid 70s for Seattle on September 1, before a warm front Tuesday night and stronger cold front Wednesday introduce cooler marine air. This places the market's leading 74–75 °F bin (31 % implied probability) just above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 74.2 °F, while nearby 70–73 °F outcomes (49 % combined) reflect uncertainty in cloud cover, marine-layer depth, and exact frontal timing. Short-range GFS and ECMWF solutions show modest spread in peak temperatures, underscoring how small shifts in steering flow or insolation can alter the daily maximum by a few degrees. Updated model cycles and the next NWS Area Forecast Discussion will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$270
Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 7:55 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a building upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest will support daytime highs in the low-to-mid 70s for Seattle on September 1, before a warm front Tuesday night and stronger cold front Wednesday introduce cooler marine air. This places the market's leading 74–75 °F bin (31 % implied probability) just above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 74.2 °F, while nearby 70–73 °F outcomes (49 % combined) reflect uncertainty in cloud cover, marine-layer depth, and exact frontal timing. Short-range GFS and ECMWF solutions show modest spread in peak temperatures, underscoring how small shifts in steering flow or insolation can alter the daily maximum by a few degrees. Updated model cycles and the next NWS Area Forecast Discussion will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$270
Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 7:55 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Связанные

icon for Будет ли самая низкая температура в Сиэтле от 54 до 55°F 1 сентября?

Будет ли самая низкая температура в Сиэтле от 54 до 55°F 1 сентября?

49%
Да
icon for Будет ли максимальная температура в Сиэтле в пределах 74-75°F 31 августа?

Будет ли максимальная температура в Сиэтле в пределах 74-75°F 31 августа?

51%
Да
icon for Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 30?

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 30?

47%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 1 сентября?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «74-75°F» с 30%, за ним следует «72-73°F» с 27%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 30¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 30%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 1 сентября?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 30, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 1 сентября?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 1 сентября?» — «74-75°F» с 30%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 30%. Следующий ближайший исход — «72-73°F» с 27%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 1 сентября?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.