Recent official forecasts from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China and global models indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and an 65-85% probability of thunderstorms and rain across Guangzhou on August 30, 2026. These conditions reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping the daily maximum temperature near or slightly below the 33 °C climatological average. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–32 °C because traders weigh this consensus against minor model spread in steering patterns and timing of convective activity; a brief clearing window could push readings toward 33 °C, while heavier or earlier rainfall would favor the lower end of the distribution. Historical records show August 30 maxima have reached 36.6 °C under clearer conditions, underscoring how the current synoptic setup differentiates the near-term outlook.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 30 августа?
31°C 31%
30°C 23%
32°C 19%
29°C 10.4%
27°C или ниже
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
23%
31°C
31%
32°C
19%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C или выше
<1%
31°C 31%
30°C 23%
32°C 19%
29°C 10.4%
27°C или ниже
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
23%
31°C
31%
32°C
19%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China and global models indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and an 65-85% probability of thunderstorms and rain across Guangzhou on August 30, 2026. These conditions reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping the daily maximum temperature near or slightly below the 33 °C climatological average. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–32 °C because traders weigh this consensus against minor model spread in steering patterns and timing of convective activity; a brief clearing window could push readings toward 33 °C, while heavier or earlier rainfall would favor the lower end of the distribution. Historical records show August 30 maxima have reached 36.6 °C under clearer conditions, underscoring how the current synoptic setup differentiates the near-term outlook.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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