Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a highest temperature likely between 31–32°C on August 29, driven by lingering summer humidity, moderate cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit peak solar heating while preventing sharper cooling. Model runs show afternoon highs near 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies with 40–80% rain probability, consistent with late-August climatology where monsoon influences and regional moisture suppress extremes below historical peaks around 33–35°C. Trader consensus at 31–32°C reflects model agreement on minimal intensification from urban heat effects or wind patterns, with 33°C+ odds low due to precipitation timing; resolution hinges on official observations distinguishing exact maxima amid forecast uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 29 августа?
31°C 51%
32°C 43%
33°C 4.5%
34°C or higher 1.0%
$72,211 Объем
$72,211 Объем
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
51%
32°C
43%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 51%
32°C 43%
33°C 4.5%
34°C or higher 1.0%
$72,211 Объем
$72,211 Объем
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
51%
32°C
43%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a highest temperature likely between 31–32°C on August 29, driven by lingering summer humidity, moderate cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit peak solar heating while preventing sharper cooling. Model runs show afternoon highs near 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies with 40–80% rain probability, consistent with late-August climatology where monsoon influences and regional moisture suppress extremes below historical peaks around 33–35°C. Trader consensus at 31–32°C reflects model agreement on minimal intensification from urban heat effects or wind patterns, with 33°C+ odds low due to precipitation timing; resolution hinges on official observations distinguishing exact maxima amid forecast uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы