Recent precipitation and persistent cloud cover across the Sichuan Basin are the main drivers keeping August 30 maximum temperatures in Chengdu near 31–33 °C, with market-implied odds reflecting tight model spreads. Daytime solar heating will be moderated by variable stratiform and convective clouds, while light westerly winds and residual moisture from late-August showers limit surface warming compared with clearer, drier periods earlier in the month. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers shows consensus highs clustered around 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies, with small differences arising from timing of any scattered showers and local urban heat-island effects. Historical late-August baselines near 31 °C provide context, yet the narrow probability band underscores genuine forecast uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing on the day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 30 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Чэнду 30 августа?
32°C 20%
31°C 20%
33°C 19%
30°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
28°C or below
5%
29°C
5%
30°C
13%
31°C
20%
32°C
20%
33°C
19%
34°C
13%
35°C
6%
36°C
4%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
1%
32°C 20%
31°C 20%
33°C 19%
30°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
28°C or below
$569 Объем
5%
29°C
$47 Объем
5%
30°C
$28 Объем
13%
31°C
$43 Объем
20%
32°C
$37 Объем
20%
33°C
$23 Объем
19%
34°C
$22 Объем
13%
35°C
$2 Объем
6%
36°C
$41 Объем
4%
37°C
$779 Объем
<1%
38°C or higher
$796 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent precipitation and persistent cloud cover across the Sichuan Basin are the main drivers keeping August 30 maximum temperatures in Chengdu near 31–33 °C, with market-implied odds reflecting tight model spreads. Daytime solar heating will be moderated by variable stratiform and convective clouds, while light westerly winds and residual moisture from late-August showers limit surface warming compared with clearer, drier periods earlier in the month. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers shows consensus highs clustered around 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies, with small differences arising from timing of any scattered showers and local urban heat-island effects. Historical late-August baselines near 31 °C provide context, yet the narrow probability band underscores genuine forecast uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing on the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$2,386Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent precipitation and persistent cloud cover across the Sichuan Basin are the main drivers keeping August 30 maximum temperatures in Chengdu near 31–33 °C, with market-implied odds reflecting tight model spreads. Daytime solar heating will be moderated by variable stratiform and convective clouds, while light westerly winds and residual moisture from late-August showers limit surface warming compared with clearer, drier periods earlier in the month. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers shows consensus highs clustered around 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies, with small differences arising from timing of any scattered showers and local urban heat-island effects. Historical late-August baselines near 31 °C provide context, yet the narrow probability band underscores genuine forecast uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing on the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,386Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent precipitation and persistent cloud cover across the Sichuan Basin are the main drivers keeping August 30 maximum temperatures in Chengdu near 31–33 °C, with market-implied odds reflecting tight model spreads. Daytime solar heating will be moderated by variable stratiform and convective clouds, while light westerly winds and residual moisture from late-August showers limit surface warming compared with clearer, drier periods earlier in the month. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers shows consensus highs clustered around 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies, with small differences arising from timing of any scattered showers and local urban heat-island effects. Historical late-August baselines near 31 °C provide context, yet the narrow probability band underscores genuine forecast uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing on the day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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