Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs indicates a shift to southwesterly flow and scattered thunderstorms across the Netherlands on August 28, 2026, limiting afternoon heating and capping the daily maximum near 21–23°C. This follows warmer conditions on August 27, when highs reached the mid-to-upper 20s°C under more stable easterly flow. The expected precipitation and cloud cover align with the climatological average high of 21.3°C for the date while suppressing potential for 24°C or higher readings. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 21–23°C outcomes, reflecting the current short-range forecast guidance and typical model agreement at this lead time, with resolution hinging on official KNMI observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Амстердаме 28 августа?
22°C 38%
21°C 28%
23°C 21%
20°C 9%
16°C или ниже
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
9%
21°C
28%
22°C
38%
23°C
21%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C или выше
1%
22°C 38%
21°C 28%
23°C 21%
20°C 9%
16°C или ниже
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
9%
21°C
28%
22°C
38%
23°C
21%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs indicates a shift to southwesterly flow and scattered thunderstorms across the Netherlands on August 28, 2026, limiting afternoon heating and capping the daily maximum near 21–23°C. This follows warmer conditions on August 27, when highs reached the mid-to-upper 20s°C under more stable easterly flow. The expected precipitation and cloud cover align with the climatological average high of 21.3°C for the date while suppressing potential for 24°C or higher readings. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 21–23°C outcomes, reflecting the current short-range forecast guidance and typical model agreement at this lead time, with resolution hinging on official KNMI observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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