Current forecast consensus from European and global models positions Amsterdam’s peak temperature on August 27 near 26–28 °C, with 27 °C as the modal outcome. Persistent warm advection from the southeast under slack pressure gradients, combined with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers, is expected to cap daytime maxima while limiting nocturnal cooling. Recent runs from the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles show tight clustering around this range, consistent with trader-implied probabilities favoring 27 °C at 40 % and adjacent bins at 26 °C and 28 °C. Historical August climatology for the region centers near 22 °C, so the current setup reflects a modest positive anomaly that could shift with any last-minute strengthening of onshore flow or heavier precipitation. Updated model guidance and official KNMI observations on the day will drive final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Амстердаме 27 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Амстердаме 27 августа?
27°C 40%
28°C 19%
26°C 15%
25°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
27 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
15%
27°C
40%
28°C
19%
29°C
6%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C или выше
1%
27°C 40%
28°C 19%
26°C 15%
25°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
27 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$10 Объем
4%
23°C
$0 Объем
4%
24°C
$0 Объем
3%
25°C
$82 Объем
7%
26°C
$414 Объем
15%
27°C
$73 Объем
40%
28°C
$15 Объем
19%
29°C
$0 Объем
6%
30°C
$0 Объем
6%
31°C
$0 Объем
1%
32°C или выше
$106 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from European and global models positions Amsterdam’s peak temperature on August 27 near 26–28 °C, with 27 °C as the modal outcome. Persistent warm advection from the southeast under slack pressure gradients, combined with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers, is expected to cap daytime maxima while limiting nocturnal cooling. Recent runs from the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles show tight clustering around this range, consistent with trader-implied probabilities favoring 27 °C at 40 % and adjacent bins at 26 °C and 28 °C. Historical August climatology for the region centers near 22 °C, so the current setup reflects a modest positive anomaly that could shift with any last-minute strengthening of onshore flow or heavier precipitation. Updated model guidance and official KNMI observations on the day will drive final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$699Дата окончания
27 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from European and global models positions Amsterdam’s peak temperature on August 27 near 26–28 °C, with 27 °C as the modal outcome. Persistent warm advection from the southeast under slack pressure gradients, combined with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers, is expected to cap daytime maxima while limiting nocturnal cooling. Recent runs from the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles show tight clustering around this range, consistent with trader-implied probabilities favoring 27 °C at 40 % and adjacent bins at 26 °C and 28 °C. Historical August climatology for the region centers near 22 °C, so the current setup reflects a modest positive anomaly that could shift with any last-minute strengthening of onshore flow or heavier precipitation. Updated model guidance and official KNMI observations on the day will drive final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$699Дата окончания
27 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from European and global models positions Amsterdam’s peak temperature on August 27 near 26–28 °C, with 27 °C as the modal outcome. Persistent warm advection from the southeast under slack pressure gradients, combined with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers, is expected to cap daytime maxima while limiting nocturnal cooling. Recent runs from the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles show tight clustering around this range, consistent with trader-implied probabilities favoring 27 °C at 40 % and adjacent bins at 26 °C and 28 °C. Historical August climatology for the region centers near 22 °C, so the current setup reflects a modest positive anomaly that could shift with any last-minute strengthening of onshore flow or heavier precipitation. Updated model guidance and official KNMI observations on the day will drive final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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