Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC place Istanbul’s August 27 maximum near 27–30 °C, aligning with late-summer Mediterranean climatology where average highs hover around 28 °C. Persistent north-easterly flow off the Black Sea supplies marine cooling that frequently caps peaks at or below 28 °C, while mostly sunny conditions and light winds support the 27 °C outcome currently favored by traders at 48.5 % implied probability. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variability, with any increase in cloud cover or stronger sea breeze likely to keep readings from reaching 29 °C or higher. Updated short-range guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 27 августа?
27°C 49%
28°C 32%
29°C 12%
26°C 11%
23°C or below
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
11%
27°C
49%
28°C
32%
29°C
12%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 49%
28°C 32%
29°C 12%
26°C 11%
23°C or below
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
11%
27°C
49%
28°C
32%
29°C
12%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC place Istanbul’s August 27 maximum near 27–30 °C, aligning with late-summer Mediterranean climatology where average highs hover around 28 °C. Persistent north-easterly flow off the Black Sea supplies marine cooling that frequently caps peaks at or below 28 °C, while mostly sunny conditions and light winds support the 27 °C outcome currently favored by traders at 48.5 % implied probability. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variability, with any increase in cloud cover or stronger sea breeze likely to keep readings from reaching 29 °C or higher. Updated short-range guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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