Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models point to a mostly sunny day with highs near 80°F in Central Park, supported by light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover that allow strong solar heating. Consensus among updated model runs favors a peak in the upper 78–81°F range, with minor differences hinging on exact timing of any afternoon boundary-layer mixing or thin cirrus. Historical August climatology for NYC shows an average high of 79°F, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the two adjacent brackets while leaving limited room for outliers above 82°F.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 25 августа?
78-79°F 42%
80-81°F 36%
76-77°F 13%
82-83°F 8%
$16,227 Объем
$16,227 Объем
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 42%
80-81°F 36%
76-77°F 13%
82-83°F 8%
$16,227 Объем
$16,227 Объем
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models point to a mostly sunny day with highs near 80°F in Central Park, supported by light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover that allow strong solar heating. Consensus among updated model runs favors a peak in the upper 78–81°F range, with minor differences hinging on exact timing of any afternoon boundary-layer mixing or thin cirrus. Historical August climatology for NYC shows an average high of 79°F, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the two adjacent brackets while leaving limited room for outliers above 82°F.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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