**Recent official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models converge on a daytime maximum of 23–26 °C for Mexico City on 26 August, aligning closely with the market’s heaviest volume on 24 °C and 25 °C.** At the city’s ~2 300 m elevation, radiational cooling overnight keeps minimums in the low teens, while daytime heating under partly to mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers is limited. Persistent moisture from the ongoing rainy season, combined with northerly flow and 30–50 % thunderstorm chances, favors modest peaks near 24–25 °C rather than the higher values seen earlier in August. Model consensus and recent observations of cooler, cloudier conditions have tightened implied probabilities around these two outcomes, with only modest probability mass extending to 26 °C if afternoon clearing occurs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 26 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мехико 26 августа?
25°C 45%
24°C 31%
26°C 14%
23°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
31%
25°C
45%
26°C
14%
27°C
2%
28°C или выше
<1%
25°C 45%
24°C 31%
26°C 14%
23°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
$358 Объем
<1%
19°C
$138 Объем
<1%
20°C
$134 Объем
<1%
21°C
$97 Объем
1%
22°C
$282 Объем
3%
23°C
$364 Объем
7%
24°C
$1,648 Объем
31%
25°C
$1,611 Объем
45%
26°C
$373 Объем
14%
27°C
$233 Объем
2%
28°C или выше
$244 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models converge on a daytime maximum of 23–26 °C for Mexico City on 26 August, aligning closely with the market’s heaviest volume on 24 °C and 25 °C.**
At the city’s ~2 300 m elevation, radiational cooling overnight keeps minimums in the low teens, while daytime heating under partly to mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers is limited. Persistent moisture from the ongoing rainy season, combined with northerly flow and 30–50 % thunderstorm chances, favors modest peaks near 24–25 °C rather than the higher values seen earlier in August.
Model consensus and recent observations of cooler, cloudier conditions have tightened implied probabilities around these two outcomes, with only modest probability mass extending to 26 °C if afternoon clearing occurs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Объем
$5,482Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models converge on a daytime maximum of 23–26 °C for Mexico City on 26 August, aligning closely with the market’s heaviest volume on 24 °C and 25 °C.**
At the city’s ~2 300 m elevation, radiational cooling overnight keeps minimums in the low teens, while daytime heating under partly to mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers is limited. Persistent moisture from the ongoing rainy season, combined with northerly flow and 30–50 % thunderstorm chances, favors modest peaks near 24–25 °C rather than the higher values seen earlier in August.
Model consensus and recent observations of cooler, cloudier conditions have tightened implied probabilities around these two outcomes, with only modest probability mass extending to 26 °C if afternoon clearing occurs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,482Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models converge on a daytime maximum of 23–26 °C for Mexico City on 26 August, aligning closely with the market’s heaviest volume on 24 °C and 25 °C.** At the city’s ~2 300 m elevation, radiational cooling overnight keeps minimums in the low teens, while daytime heating under partly to mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers is limited. Persistent moisture from the ongoing rainy season, combined with northerly flow and 30–50 % thunderstorm chances, favors modest peaks near 24–25 °C rather than the higher values seen earlier in August. Model consensus and recent observations of cooler, cloudier conditions have tightened implied probabilities around these two outcomes, with only modest probability mass extending to 26 °C if afternoon clearing occurs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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