Ongoing extreme heat across Southern California, driven by a persistent upper-level high-pressure dome over the Southwest, has elevated overnight lows well above the historical August average of ~65°F for downtown Los Angeles. Current National Weather Service and model guidance for the night of August 26–27 project minimum temperatures in the mid-70s under mostly cloudy conditions with limited marine-layer influence and weak onshore flow, supporting the elevated 34% implied probability on 82°F or higher while sustaining uncertainty around cooler outcomes. A potential strengthening sea breeze or eddy circulation late in the period could introduce localized cooling to the mid-60s or below, aligning with trader emphasis on the 44% odds for 63°F or lower. This setup reflects classic late-summer heat-wave dynamics, where radiative cooling is suppressed but boundary-layer mixing and Pacific moisture advection introduce forecast spread ahead of the expected weekend cooling trend.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 27 августа?
80-81°F 39%
63°F or below 36%
64-65°F 35%
78-79°F 29%
63°F or below
36%
64-65°F
35%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
39%
82°F or higher
10%
80-81°F 39%
63°F or below 36%
64-65°F 35%
78-79°F 29%
63°F or below
36%
64-65°F
35%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
39%
82°F or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing extreme heat across Southern California, driven by a persistent upper-level high-pressure dome over the Southwest, has elevated overnight lows well above the historical August average of ~65°F for downtown Los Angeles. Current National Weather Service and model guidance for the night of August 26–27 project minimum temperatures in the mid-70s under mostly cloudy conditions with limited marine-layer influence and weak onshore flow, supporting the elevated 34% implied probability on 82°F or higher while sustaining uncertainty around cooler outcomes. A potential strengthening sea breeze or eddy circulation late in the period could introduce localized cooling to the mid-60s or below, aligning with trader emphasis on the 44% odds for 63°F or lower. This setup reflects classic late-summer heat-wave dynamics, where radiative cooling is suppressed but boundary-layer mixing and Pacific moisture advection introduce forecast spread ahead of the expected weekend cooling trend.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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