Recent forecasts from multiple numerical weather prediction models, including those referenced by Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, indicate a daytime maximum near 19–20 °C in Moscow on August 28 under variable cloudiness, light northerly winds, and minimal precipitation. This follows cooler conditions on August 26 (high near 18 °C) as a transient ridge builds, limiting warm advection while allowing modest daytime heating. The tight clustering between 19 °C and 20 °C in trader-implied probabilities reflects small ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and local urban heat effects, with resolution hinging on whether afternoon insolation pushes readings across the 19.5 °C threshold. Updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will refine this narrow range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 28 августа?
19°C 48%
20°C 38%
18°C 10%
21°C 7%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
10%
19°C
48%
20°C
38%
21°C
7%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 48%
20°C 38%
18°C 10%
21°C 7%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
10%
19°C
48%
20°C
38%
21°C
7%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple numerical weather prediction models, including those referenced by Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, indicate a daytime maximum near 19–20 °C in Moscow on August 28 under variable cloudiness, light northerly winds, and minimal precipitation. This follows cooler conditions on August 26 (high near 18 °C) as a transient ridge builds, limiting warm advection while allowing modest daytime heating. The tight clustering between 19 °C and 20 °C in trader-implied probabilities reflects small ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and local urban heat effects, with resolution hinging on whether afternoon insolation pushes readings across the 19.5 °C threshold. Updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will refine this narrow range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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