**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no, indicate a high temperature in Madrid on August 27 of 22–24°C, driven by a cooler air mass, increased cloud cover, and light southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating.** This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 23–25°C outcomes, where 24°C leads at 32% implied probability. Afternoon peaks are expected near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies with a low chance of showers, following a cool spell that brought August 25’s maximum down to 26.9°C. Model consensus points to reduced solar insolation from cloud cover and advection of milder maritime air, contrasting sharply with the long-term August 27 average high of ~30.7°C. Traders appear to weigh minor forecast spreads in timing of any clearing or precipitation, which could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C either way before official observations finalize the result.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 27 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 27 августа?
24°C 32%
23°C 23%
25°C 22%
26°C 16%
НОВОЕ
$14,318 Объем
НОВОЕ
$14,318 Объем
27 авг. 2026 г.
21°C or below
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
23%
24°C
32%
25°C
22%
26°C
16%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 32%
23°C 23%
25°C 22%
26°C 16%
НОВОЕ
$14,318 Объем
НОВОЕ
$14,318 Объем
27 авг. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$397 Объем
2%
22°C
$554 Объем
6%
23°C
$2,312 Объем
23%
24°C
$981 Объем
32%
25°C
$1,430 Объем
22%
26°C
$3,651 Объем
16%
27°C
$1,467 Объем
3%
28°C
$338 Объем
1%
29°C
$690 Объем
<1%
30°C
$656 Объем
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,842 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no, indicate a high temperature in Madrid on August 27 of 22–24°C, driven by a cooler air mass, increased cloud cover, and light southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating.**
This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 23–25°C outcomes, where 24°C leads at 32% implied probability. Afternoon peaks are expected near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies with a low chance of showers, following a cool spell that brought August 25’s maximum down to 26.9°C.
Model consensus points to reduced solar insolation from cloud cover and advection of milder maritime air, contrasting sharply with the long-term August 27 average high of ~30.7°C. Traders appear to weigh minor forecast spreads in timing of any clearing or precipitation, which could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C either way before official observations finalize the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$14,318Дата окончания
27 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no, indicate a high temperature in Madrid on August 27 of 22–24°C, driven by a cooler air mass, increased cloud cover, and light southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating.**
This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 23–25°C outcomes, where 24°C leads at 32% implied probability. Afternoon peaks are expected near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies with a low chance of showers, following a cool spell that brought August 25’s maximum down to 26.9°C.
Model consensus points to reduced solar insolation from cloud cover and advection of milder maritime air, contrasting sharply with the long-term August 27 average high of ~30.7°C. Traders appear to weigh minor forecast spreads in timing of any clearing or precipitation, which could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C either way before official observations finalize the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$14,318Дата окончания
27 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no, indicate a high temperature in Madrid on August 27 of 22–24°C, driven by a cooler air mass, increased cloud cover, and light southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating.** This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 23–25°C outcomes, where 24°C leads at 32% implied probability. Afternoon peaks are expected near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies with a low chance of showers, following a cool spell that brought August 25’s maximum down to 26.9°C. Model consensus points to reduced solar insolation from cloud cover and advection of milder maritime air, contrasting sharply with the long-term August 27 average high of ~30.7°C. Traders appear to weigh minor forecast spreads in timing of any clearing or precipitation, which could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C either way before official observations finalize the result.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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