Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and regional ensembles point to a maximum temperature in Paris of 26–27°C on August 25 as the most likely outcome, driving the near-tie in market-implied odds between those two bins. Persistent high pressure with light southerly flow is expected to support modest warming above the 24.5°C climatological average, while increasing afternoon cloud cover and a 40–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms—per latest guidance—should limit peak heating and introduce small downward revisions. Traders are closely monitoring the next model updates and any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of convection, which could tip resolution between 25°C and 28°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 25 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 25 августа?
26°C 28%
27°C 26%
25°C 16%
28°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
9%
25°C
16%
26°C
28%
27°C
26%
28°C
13%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 28%
27°C 26%
25°C 16%
28°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$1,042 Объем
1%
23°C
$619 Объем
5%
24°C
$698 Объем
9%
25°C
$767 Объем
16%
26°C
$1,071 Объем
28%
27°C
$746 Объем
26%
28°C
$638 Объем
13%
29°C
$425 Объем
6%
30°C
$166 Объем
1%
31°C
$55 Объем
<1%
32°C or higher
$27 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and regional ensembles point to a maximum temperature in Paris of 26–27°C on August 25 as the most likely outcome, driving the near-tie in market-implied odds between those two bins. Persistent high pressure with light southerly flow is expected to support modest warming above the 24.5°C climatological average, while increasing afternoon cloud cover and a 40–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms—per latest guidance—should limit peak heating and introduce small downward revisions. Traders are closely monitoring the next model updates and any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of convection, which could tip resolution between 25°C and 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$6,253Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and regional ensembles point to a maximum temperature in Paris of 26–27°C on August 25 as the most likely outcome, driving the near-tie in market-implied odds between those two bins. Persistent high pressure with light southerly flow is expected to support modest warming above the 24.5°C climatological average, while increasing afternoon cloud cover and a 40–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms—per latest guidance—should limit peak heating and introduce small downward revisions. Traders are closely monitoring the next model updates and any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of convection, which could tip resolution between 25°C and 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,253Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and regional ensembles point to a maximum temperature in Paris of 26–27°C on August 25 as the most likely outcome, driving the near-tie in market-implied odds between those two bins. Persistent high pressure with light southerly flow is expected to support modest warming above the 24.5°C climatological average, while increasing afternoon cloud cover and a 40–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms—per latest guidance—should limit peak heating and introduce small downward revisions. Traders are closely monitoring the next model updates and any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of convection, which could tip resolution between 25°C and 28°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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