Recent forecast consensus from MetService and global models positions a 13–15°C high for Wellington on August 24 as the most likely outcome, driven by a northwest flow advecting milder maritime air after earlier fronts clear. Northwesterly winds of 15–30 km/h under mostly sunny or clear skies support modest diurnal warming above seasonal averages near 12°C, while stable high pressure limits cloud cover and precipitation that could suppress maxima. Trader emphasis on 15°C reflects model agreement on peak readings in this range, with limited upside to 16°C or higher unless winds strengthen further. Final model updates and observational trends through August 23 will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 24 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 24 августа?
15°C 55%
14°C 22%
16°C 20%
13°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
22%
15°C
55%
16°C
20%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
1%
15°C 55%
14°C 22%
16°C 20%
13°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
9°C or below
$67 Объем
<1%
10°C
$79 Объем
<1%
11°C
$37 Объем
<1%
12°C
$104 Объем
<1%
13°C
$106 Объем
4%
14°C
$298 Объем
22%
15°C
$157 Объем
55%
16°C
$217 Объем
20%
17°C
$181 Объем
3%
18°C
$5 Объем
3%
19°C or higher
$37 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from MetService and global models positions a 13–15°C high for Wellington on August 24 as the most likely outcome, driven by a northwest flow advecting milder maritime air after earlier fronts clear. Northwesterly winds of 15–30 km/h under mostly sunny or clear skies support modest diurnal warming above seasonal averages near 12°C, while stable high pressure limits cloud cover and precipitation that could suppress maxima. Trader emphasis on 15°C reflects model agreement on peak readings in this range, with limited upside to 16°C or higher unless winds strengthen further. Final model updates and observational trends through August 23 will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$1,290Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from MetService and global models positions a 13–15°C high for Wellington on August 24 as the most likely outcome, driven by a northwest flow advecting milder maritime air after earlier fronts clear. Northwesterly winds of 15–30 km/h under mostly sunny or clear skies support modest diurnal warming above seasonal averages near 12°C, while stable high pressure limits cloud cover and precipitation that could suppress maxima. Trader emphasis on 15°C reflects model agreement on peak readings in this range, with limited upside to 16°C or higher unless winds strengthen further. Final model updates and observational trends through August 23 will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,290Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from MetService and global models positions a 13–15°C high for Wellington on August 24 as the most likely outcome, driven by a northwest flow advecting milder maritime air after earlier fronts clear. Northwesterly winds of 15–30 km/h under mostly sunny or clear skies support modest diurnal warming above seasonal averages near 12°C, while stable high pressure limits cloud cover and precipitation that could suppress maxima. Trader emphasis on 15°C reflects model agreement on peak readings in this range, with limited upside to 16°C or higher unless winds strengthen further. Final model updates and observational trends through August 23 will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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