Recent short-range forecast guidance from MetService highlights strong northwesterlies ahead of a front as the main driver keeping 15–16 °C in play for Wellington’s maximum on 23 August, with model runs showing clearing skies and downslope warming that could briefly push readings to the upper end of the seasonal range. Near-average seasonal temperatures expected by NIWA (45 % probability) provide the baseline, while variable shower timing and wind strength introduce the narrow spread traders see between 15 °C and 16 °C. Official maximums are measured at Kelburn under standard Stevenson screen conditions; any shift in frontal passage or wind backing southerly would favor the lower outcome. Updated model runs and the evening observation will be the next key data points.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 23 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 23 августа?
16°C 46%
15°C 44%
17°C 7%
14°C 6%
НОВОЕ
$18,057 Объем
НОВОЕ
$18,057 Объем
23 авг. 2026 г.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
6%
15°C
44%
16°C
46%
17°C
7%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
16°C 46%
15°C 44%
17°C 7%
14°C 6%
НОВОЕ
$18,057 Объем
НОВОЕ
$18,057 Объем
23 авг. 2026 г.
9°C or below
$560 Объем
<1%
10°C
$548 Объем
<1%
11°C
$707 Объем
<1%
12°C
$531 Объем
<1%
13°C
$2,096 Объем
2%
14°C
$1,997 Объем
6%
15°C
$3,601 Объем
44%
16°C
$5,199 Объем
46%
17°C
$1,543 Объем
7%
18°C
$691 Объем
1%
19°C or higher
$583 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from MetService highlights strong northwesterlies ahead of a front as the main driver keeping 15–16 °C in play for Wellington’s maximum on 23 August, with model runs showing clearing skies and downslope warming that could briefly push readings to the upper end of the seasonal range. Near-average seasonal temperatures expected by NIWA (45 % probability) provide the baseline, while variable shower timing and wind strength introduce the narrow spread traders see between 15 °C and 16 °C. Official maximums are measured at Kelburn under standard Stevenson screen conditions; any shift in frontal passage or wind backing southerly would favor the lower outcome. Updated model runs and the evening observation will be the next key data points.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$18,057Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from MetService highlights strong northwesterlies ahead of a front as the main driver keeping 15–16 °C in play for Wellington’s maximum on 23 August, with model runs showing clearing skies and downslope warming that could briefly push readings to the upper end of the seasonal range. Near-average seasonal temperatures expected by NIWA (45 % probability) provide the baseline, while variable shower timing and wind strength introduce the narrow spread traders see between 15 °C and 16 °C. Official maximums are measured at Kelburn under standard Stevenson screen conditions; any shift in frontal passage or wind backing southerly would favor the lower outcome. Updated model runs and the evening observation will be the next key data points.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$18,057Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast guidance from MetService highlights strong northwesterlies ahead of a front as the main driver keeping 15–16 °C in play for Wellington’s maximum on 23 August, with model runs showing clearing skies and downslope warming that could briefly push readings to the upper end of the seasonal range. Near-average seasonal temperatures expected by NIWA (45 % probability) provide the baseline, while variable shower timing and wind strength introduce the narrow spread traders see between 15 °C and 16 °C. Official maximums are measured at Kelburn under standard Stevenson screen conditions; any shift in frontal passage or wind backing southerly would favor the lower outcome. Updated model runs and the evening observation will be the next key data points.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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