Recent forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C in Wellington on August 22, driven by moderate northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover, and a lack of strong southerly outbreaks that typically bring colder air masses. This aligns with seasonal baselines where August overnight lows average 9–10°C, but current conditions show limited radiative cooling overnight due to cloud and wind mixing. Trader consensus at 62% for 12°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns, while the 38.5% implied probability for 9°C accounts for potential model shifts if winds weaken or clearer skies develop before dawn. Upcoming official observations from Wellington stations will resolve the market as data confirms the daily minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 22 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 22 августа?
11°C 36%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
7°C or below <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 авг. 2026 г.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
36%
12°C
62%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 36%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
7°C or below <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 авг. 2026 г.
7°C or below
$302 Объем
<1%
8°C
$219 Объем
<1%
9°C
$62 Объем
1%
10°C
$139 Объем
1%
11°C
$142 Объем
36%
12°C
$252 Объем
62%
13°C
$231 Объем
<1%
14°C
$794 Объем
<1%
15°C
$676 Объем
<1%
16°C
$148 Объем
<1%
17°C or higher
$178 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C in Wellington on August 22, driven by moderate northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover, and a lack of strong southerly outbreaks that typically bring colder air masses. This aligns with seasonal baselines where August overnight lows average 9–10°C, but current conditions show limited radiative cooling overnight due to cloud and wind mixing. Trader consensus at 62% for 12°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns, while the 38.5% implied probability for 9°C accounts for potential model shifts if winds weaken or clearer skies develop before dawn. Upcoming official observations from Wellington stations will resolve the market as data confirms the daily minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Объем
$3,142Дата окончания
22 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C in Wellington on August 22, driven by moderate northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover, and a lack of strong southerly outbreaks that typically bring colder air masses. This aligns with seasonal baselines where August overnight lows average 9–10°C, but current conditions show limited radiative cooling overnight due to cloud and wind mixing. Trader consensus at 62% for 12°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns, while the 38.5% implied probability for 9°C accounts for potential model shifts if winds weaken or clearer skies develop before dawn. Upcoming official observations from Wellington stations will resolve the market as data confirms the daily minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,142Дата окончания
22 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C in Wellington on August 22, driven by moderate northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover, and a lack of strong southerly outbreaks that typically bring colder air masses. This aligns with seasonal baselines where August overnight lows average 9–10°C, but current conditions show limited radiative cooling overnight due to cloud and wind mixing. Trader consensus at 62% for 12°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns, while the 38.5% implied probability for 9°C accounts for potential model shifts if winds weaken or clearer skies develop before dawn. Upcoming official observations from Wellington stations will resolve the market as data confirms the daily minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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