Traders view the lowest temperature in Wellington on August 24 as highly uncertain, with nearly identical odds on extremes above 15°C versus 5°C or below, because short-range forecast models show competing influences from an approaching cold front and variable southerly flow. Clear, calm nights would enhance radiative cooling and allow sharp drops, while increased cloud cover and mixing from stronger winds would keep readings milder. August climatology places typical overnight lows near 7–8°C, but model consensus remains split on exact timing, frontal strength, and local marine effects, with new guidance expected to clarify resolution thresholds within the next 48 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 24 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 24 августа?
15°C or higher 90%
5°C or below 87%
11°C 48%
12°C 48%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
5°C or below
87%
6°C
25%
7°C
25%
8°C
29%
9°C
29%
10°C
25%
11°C
48%
12°C
48%
13°C
8%
14°C
2%
15°C or higher
90%
15°C or higher 90%
5°C or below 87%
11°C 48%
12°C 48%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
5°C or below
$5 Объем
87%
6°C
$0 Объем
25%
7°C
$0 Объем
25%
8°C
$0 Объем
29%
9°C
$0 Объем
29%
10°C
$0 Объем
25%
11°C
$5 Объем
48%
12°C
$5 Объем
48%
13°C
$5 Объем
8%
14°C
$5 Объем
2%
15°C or higher
$5 Объем
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders view the lowest temperature in Wellington on August 24 as highly uncertain, with nearly identical odds on extremes above 15°C versus 5°C or below, because short-range forecast models show competing influences from an approaching cold front and variable southerly flow. Clear, calm nights would enhance radiative cooling and allow sharp drops, while increased cloud cover and mixing from stronger winds would keep readings milder. August climatology places typical overnight lows near 7–8°C, but model consensus remains split on exact timing, frontal strength, and local marine effects, with new guidance expected to clarify resolution thresholds within the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$30Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders view the lowest temperature in Wellington on August 24 as highly uncertain, with nearly identical odds on extremes above 15°C versus 5°C or below, because short-range forecast models show competing influences from an approaching cold front and variable southerly flow. Clear, calm nights would enhance radiative cooling and allow sharp drops, while increased cloud cover and mixing from stronger winds would keep readings milder. August climatology places typical overnight lows near 7–8°C, but model consensus remains split on exact timing, frontal strength, and local marine effects, with new guidance expected to clarify resolution thresholds within the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$30Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders view the lowest temperature in Wellington on August 24 as highly uncertain, with nearly identical odds on extremes above 15°C versus 5°C or below, because short-range forecast models show competing influences from an approaching cold front and variable southerly flow. Clear, calm nights would enhance radiative cooling and allow sharp drops, while increased cloud cover and mixing from stronger winds would keep readings milder. August climatology places typical overnight lows near 7–8°C, but model consensus remains split on exact timing, frontal strength, and local marine effects, with new guidance expected to clarify resolution thresholds within the next 48 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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