Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Met Office, BBC, and TimeandDate converge on daytime highs of 31–34°C for Chengdu on August 22, driven by typical late-summer subtropical high pressure with embedded moisture from the East Asian monsoon. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 32–34°C because variable afternoon cloud cover and scattered thundershowers could cap peak temperatures by limiting solar heating, while clearer intervals or stronger southerly flow might push readings to 34°C or briefly higher. Humidity near 60–70% and light winds further moderate the diurnal range, keeping overnight lows in the mid-20s and limiting extreme spikes. Updated model guidance on precipitation timing and basin-scale temperature advection will likely refine these odds ahead of market resolution.