Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 21 project a maximum of 27–31°C under east to southeast winds of force 4–5, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit insolation and cap daytime heating. This range underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C, with 30°C leading at 33%. Persistent moisture and reduced solar radiation differentiate these outcomes from higher or lower extremes by suppressing peak temperatures relative to climatological August averages near 32°C. Recent model guidance shows consistent patterns, though traders monitor potential revisions from updated runs in the final 48 hours that could shift convective activity or wind fields.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 21 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 21 августа?
30°C 34%
31°C 28%
29°C 25%
32°C 9%
НОВОЕ
$20,910 Объем
НОВОЕ
$20,910 Объем
21 авг. 2026 г.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
25%
30°C
34%
31°C
28%
32°C
9%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 34%
31°C 28%
29°C 25%
32°C 9%
НОВОЕ
$20,910 Объем
НОВОЕ
$20,910 Объем
21 авг. 2026 г.
24°C or below
$611 Объем
<1%
25°C
$802 Объем
<1%
26°C
$1,360 Объем
<1%
27°C
$5,598 Объем
1%
28°C
$4,103 Объем
7%
29°C
$3,011 Объем
25%
30°C
$1,850 Объем
34%
31°C
$1,275 Объем
28%
32°C
$1,251 Объем
9%
33°C
$465 Объем
2%
34°C or higher
$582 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 21 project a maximum of 27–31°C under east to southeast winds of force 4–5, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit insolation and cap daytime heating. This range underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C, with 30°C leading at 33%. Persistent moisture and reduced solar radiation differentiate these outcomes from higher or lower extremes by suppressing peak temperatures relative to climatological August averages near 32°C. Recent model guidance shows consistent patterns, though traders monitor potential revisions from updated runs in the final 48 hours that could shift convective activity or wind fields.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$20,910Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 21 project a maximum of 27–31°C under east to southeast winds of force 4–5, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit insolation and cap daytime heating. This range underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C, with 30°C leading at 33%. Persistent moisture and reduced solar radiation differentiate these outcomes from higher or lower extremes by suppressing peak temperatures relative to climatological August averages near 32°C. Recent model guidance shows consistent patterns, though traders monitor potential revisions from updated runs in the final 48 hours that could shift convective activity or wind fields.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$20,910Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 21 project a maximum of 27–31°C under east to southeast winds of force 4–5, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit insolation and cap daytime heating. This range underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C, with 30°C leading at 33%. Persistent moisture and reduced solar radiation differentiate these outcomes from higher or lower extremes by suppressing peak temperatures relative to climatological August averages near 32°C. Recent model guidance shows consistent patterns, though traders monitor potential revisions from updated runs in the final 48 hours that could shift convective activity or wind fields.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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