Latest AEMET guidance and supporting ensemble models indicate a maximum of 32–33°C in Madrid on August 22 under mostly clear skies and light winds, aligning with the tight market split between 33°C (56%) and 34°C (38.5%). Continental summer conditions favor strong daytime heating from high solar insolation, with minimal cloud cover or Atlantic moisture expected to limit evaporative cooling and allow temperatures to reach or briefly exceed the seasonal normal near 31–32°C. Short-range model runs show modest sensitivity to afternoon boundary-layer mixing and any localized urban heat-island effects, which could shift the official peak by 1°C. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and probabilistic guidance ahead of the daily observation window, consistent with historical late-August variability in central Spain.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 22 августа?
34°C 49%
33°C 40%
32°C 5%
35°C 4%
$22,539 Объем
$22,539 Объем
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
5%
33°C
40%
34°C
49%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 49%
33°C 40%
32°C 5%
35°C 4%
$22,539 Объем
$22,539 Объем
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
5%
33°C
40%
34°C
49%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest AEMET guidance and supporting ensemble models indicate a maximum of 32–33°C in Madrid on August 22 under mostly clear skies and light winds, aligning with the tight market split between 33°C (56%) and 34°C (38.5%). Continental summer conditions favor strong daytime heating from high solar insolation, with minimal cloud cover or Atlantic moisture expected to limit evaporative cooling and allow temperatures to reach or briefly exceed the seasonal normal near 31–32°C. Short-range model runs show modest sensitivity to afternoon boundary-layer mixing and any localized urban heat-island effects, which could shift the official peak by 1°C. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and probabilistic guidance ahead of the daily observation window, consistent with historical late-August variability in central Spain.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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