Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's daily minimum temperature on August 20 will most likely settle near 27°C, aligning with the market's dominant 59% implied probability for that outcome. In Shanghai's humid subtropical climate during late August, overnight lows typically range 25–28°C under prevailing southerly monsoon flow and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Recent model runs show scattered showers and cloud cover moderating temperatures without significant cold advection, supporting the 26–28°C cluster that accounts for over 98% of trader consensus. Historical climatology places average August minima around 26°C, with current conditions tracking near normal absent any tropical system influence. Updated regional guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will refine these projections and may shift probabilities if convection patterns intensify.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 20 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 20 августа?
27°C 59%
28°C 27%
26°C 13%
29°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 авг. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
13%
27°C
59%
28°C
27%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
27°C 59%
28°C 27%
26°C 13%
29°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 авг. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$100 Объем
<1%
23°C
$13 Объем
1%
24°C
$15 Объем
1%
25°C
$8 Объем
3%
26°C
$64 Объем
13%
27°C
$301 Объем
59%
28°C
$52 Объем
27%
29°C
$117 Объем
3%
30°C
$49 Объем
1%
31°C
$206 Объем
<1%
32°C или выше
$286 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's daily minimum temperature on August 20 will most likely settle near 27°C, aligning with the market's dominant 59% implied probability for that outcome. In Shanghai's humid subtropical climate during late August, overnight lows typically range 25–28°C under prevailing southerly monsoon flow and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Recent model runs show scattered showers and cloud cover moderating temperatures without significant cold advection, supporting the 26–28°C cluster that accounts for over 98% of trader consensus. Historical climatology places average August minima around 26°C, with current conditions tracking near normal absent any tropical system influence. Updated regional guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will refine these projections and may shift probabilities if convection patterns intensify.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Объем
$1,212Дата окончания
20 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's daily minimum temperature on August 20 will most likely settle near 27°C, aligning with the market's dominant 59% implied probability for that outcome. In Shanghai's humid subtropical climate during late August, overnight lows typically range 25–28°C under prevailing southerly monsoon flow and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Recent model runs show scattered showers and cloud cover moderating temperatures without significant cold advection, supporting the 26–28°C cluster that accounts for over 98% of trader consensus. Historical climatology places average August minima around 26°C, with current conditions tracking near normal absent any tropical system influence. Updated regional guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will refine these projections and may shift probabilities if convection patterns intensify.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,212Дата окончания
20 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's daily minimum temperature on August 20 will most likely settle near 27°C, aligning with the market's dominant 59% implied probability for that outcome. In Shanghai's humid subtropical climate during late August, overnight lows typically range 25–28°C under prevailing southerly monsoon flow and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Recent model runs show scattered showers and cloud cover moderating temperatures without significant cold advection, supporting the 26–28°C cluster that accounts for over 98% of trader consensus. Historical climatology places average August minima around 26°C, with current conditions tracking near normal absent any tropical system influence. Updated regional guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will refine these projections and may shift probabilities if convection patterns intensify.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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