Recent forecasts indicate Istanbul will experience typical late-summer conditions on August 20, with model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather pointing to daytime highs near 30–33°C amid high pressure and light southerly flow. Traders have concentrated implied probabilities on 26–28°C, reflecting caution around potential northerly wind shifts or increased cloud cover that could suppress maxima by 2–4°C relative to climatological baselines of 28–31°C. Key differentiating factors include diurnal heating rates influenced by humidity levels near 60–70%, sea surface temperatures in the Bosphorus region moderating extremes, and the absence of strong advection from hotter interior air masses. With the market window closing in under 48 hours, upcoming ECMWF or GFS model updates on steering patterns and any late-day convective development will likely drive the tight spread among leading outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 20 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 20 августа?
28°C 51%
27°C 26%
26°C 25%
29°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
25%
27°C
26%
28°C
29%
29°C
16%
30°C
11%
31°C
7%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 51%
27°C 26%
26°C 25%
29°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$143 Объем
<1%
24°C
$49 Объем
1%
25°C
$5 Объем
7%
26°C
$647 Объем
25%
27°C
$78 Объем
26%
28°C
$83 Объем
29%
29°C
$100 Объем
16%
30°C
$24 Объем
11%
31°C
$5 Объем
7%
32°C
$5 Объем
7%
33°C or higher
$25 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate Istanbul will experience typical late-summer conditions on August 20, with model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather pointing to daytime highs near 30–33°C amid high pressure and light southerly flow. Traders have concentrated implied probabilities on 26–28°C, reflecting caution around potential northerly wind shifts or increased cloud cover that could suppress maxima by 2–4°C relative to climatological baselines of 28–31°C. Key differentiating factors include diurnal heating rates influenced by humidity levels near 60–70%, sea surface temperatures in the Bosphorus region moderating extremes, and the absence of strong advection from hotter interior air masses. With the market window closing in under 48 hours, upcoming ECMWF or GFS model updates on steering patterns and any late-day convective development will likely drive the tight spread among leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$1,164Дата окончания
20 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate Istanbul will experience typical late-summer conditions on August 20, with model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather pointing to daytime highs near 30–33°C amid high pressure and light southerly flow. Traders have concentrated implied probabilities on 26–28°C, reflecting caution around potential northerly wind shifts or increased cloud cover that could suppress maxima by 2–4°C relative to climatological baselines of 28–31°C. Key differentiating factors include diurnal heating rates influenced by humidity levels near 60–70%, sea surface temperatures in the Bosphorus region moderating extremes, and the absence of strong advection from hotter interior air masses. With the market window closing in under 48 hours, upcoming ECMWF or GFS model updates on steering patterns and any late-day convective development will likely drive the tight spread among leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,164Дата окончания
20 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate Istanbul will experience typical late-summer conditions on August 20, with model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather pointing to daytime highs near 30–33°C amid high pressure and light southerly flow. Traders have concentrated implied probabilities on 26–28°C, reflecting caution around potential northerly wind shifts or increased cloud cover that could suppress maxima by 2–4°C relative to climatological baselines of 28–31°C. Key differentiating factors include diurnal heating rates influenced by humidity levels near 60–70%, sea surface temperatures in the Bosphorus region moderating extremes, and the absence of strong advection from hotter interior air masses. With the market window closing in under 48 hours, upcoming ECMWF or GFS model updates on steering patterns and any late-day convective development will likely drive the tight spread among leading outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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