National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 86°F in New York City on August 18 under mostly sunny conditions with light southwest winds, establishing the 86-87°F bin as the clear market leader at 53.5% implied probability. This aligns with NOAA model consensus showing a warming trend from recent cooler readings near 80°F and exceeds the 1991-2020 Central Park normal of 83°F. Sea-breeze moderation and any late-day cloud development remain key variables that could cap readings in the mid-80s, while traders monitor the next NWS update and higher-resolution runs for confirmation ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 18 августа?
86-87°F 55%
88-89°F 18%
84-85°F 15%
92-93°F 8%
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
55%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
8%
94°F or higher
1%
86-87°F 55%
88-89°F 18%
84-85°F 15%
92-93°F 8%
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
55%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
8%
94°F or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 86°F in New York City on August 18 under mostly sunny conditions with light southwest winds, establishing the 86-87°F bin as the clear market leader at 53.5% implied probability. This aligns with NOAA model consensus showing a warming trend from recent cooler readings near 80°F and exceeds the 1991-2020 Central Park normal of 83°F. Sea-breeze moderation and any late-day cloud development remain key variables that could cap readings in the mid-80s, while traders monitor the next NWS update and higher-resolution runs for confirmation ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы