Official National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for August 16, 2026, indicate a daily high near 84°F in New York City under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light winds, positioning the 80–83°F ranges as the strongest market-implied outcomes. Typical mid-August climatology features highs around 82–84°F, but recent guidance shows slight moderation from onshore flow and variable humidity rather than peak summer heat. Traders weigh these NWS and ensemble projections against resolution based on official Central Park observations, with low probabilities for extremes reflecting limited intensification potential and stable steering patterns. Updated model runs through the day will refine the exact peak ahead of final readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 16 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 16 августа?
80-81°F 48%
82-83°F 27%
78-79°F 17%
76-77°F 6%
НОВОЕ
$33,059 Объем
НОВОЕ
$33,059 Объем
16 авг. 2026 г.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
48%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 48%
82-83°F 27%
78-79°F 17%
76-77°F 6%
НОВОЕ
$33,059 Объем
НОВОЕ
$33,059 Объем
16 авг. 2026 г.
71°F or below
$211 Объем
<1%
72-73°F
$214 Объем
<1%
74-75°F
$20,369 Объем
<1%
76-77°F
$2,000 Объем
6%
78-79°F
$1,417 Объем
17%
80-81°F
$736 Объем
48%
82-83°F
$3,779 Объем
27%
84-85°F
$1,473 Объем
5%
86-87°F
$1,228 Объем
1%
88-89°F
$1,050 Объем
<1%
90°F or higher
$582 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for August 16, 2026, indicate a daily high near 84°F in New York City under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light winds, positioning the 80–83°F ranges as the strongest market-implied outcomes. Typical mid-August climatology features highs around 82–84°F, but recent guidance shows slight moderation from onshore flow and variable humidity rather than peak summer heat. Traders weigh these NWS and ensemble projections against resolution based on official Central Park observations, with low probabilities for extremes reflecting limited intensification potential and stable steering patterns. Updated model runs through the day will refine the exact peak ahead of final readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Объем
$33,059Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for August 16, 2026, indicate a daily high near 84°F in New York City under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light winds, positioning the 80–83°F ranges as the strongest market-implied outcomes. Typical mid-August climatology features highs around 82–84°F, but recent guidance shows slight moderation from onshore flow and variable humidity rather than peak summer heat. Traders weigh these NWS and ensemble projections against resolution based on official Central Park observations, with low probabilities for extremes reflecting limited intensification potential and stable steering patterns. Updated model runs through the day will refine the exact peak ahead of final readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$33,059Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for August 16, 2026, indicate a daily high near 84°F in New York City under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light winds, positioning the 80–83°F ranges as the strongest market-implied outcomes. Typical mid-August climatology features highs around 82–84°F, but recent guidance shows slight moderation from onshore flow and variable humidity rather than peak summer heat. Traders weigh these NWS and ensemble projections against resolution based on official Central Park observations, with low probabilities for extremes reflecting limited intensification potential and stable steering patterns. Updated model runs through the day will refine the exact peak ahead of final readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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