Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 32–33°C on August 16 amid sunny intervals, scattered showers, and 65–95% rain probability, aligning with trader emphasis on the 33°C outcome. August climatology features typical highs near 31–32°C under subtropical conditions with high humidity, while the agency’s seasonal outlook calls for normal to above-normal temperatures through October amid ongoing climate warming trends. The earlier August record of 36.8°C reflected typhoon-driven subsidence, but current steering patterns and moisture favor slightly lower peaks. Official verification at day’s end will resolve the market, with model consensus supporting limited upside risk beyond 34°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 16 августа?
33°C 61%
34°C 23%
32°C 19%
35°C 1.8%
$46,780 Объем
$46,780 Объем
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
19%
33°C
61%
34°C
23%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 61%
34°C 23%
32°C 19%
35°C 1.8%
$46,780 Объем
$46,780 Объем
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
19%
33°C
61%
34°C
23%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 32–33°C on August 16 amid sunny intervals, scattered showers, and 65–95% rain probability, aligning with trader emphasis on the 33°C outcome. August climatology features typical highs near 31–32°C under subtropical conditions with high humidity, while the agency’s seasonal outlook calls for normal to above-normal temperatures through October amid ongoing climate warming trends. The earlier August record of 36.8°C reflected typhoon-driven subsidence, but current steering patterns and moisture favor slightly lower peaks. Official verification at day’s end will resolve the market, with model consensus supporting limited upside risk beyond 34°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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