Current forecasts from NOAA and private models point to a peak temperature in the low 90s°F for Miami on August 15, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, strong solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, and a moist tropical air mass with dew points near 75°F that elevates heat indices but caps extreme maxima through scattered afternoon convection. Typical August climatology shows average highs of 88–90°F, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from this baseline, with sea-breeze effects and light easterly flow preventing stronger warming. Trader consensus heavily favors the 92–93°F bin because it aligns with the consensus high-temperature guidance issued in the latest NHC and local NWS briefings, while lower or higher bins reflect smaller probabilities of enhanced cloud cover or rare clear-sky intensification. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will be the key near-term catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Майами 15 августа?
92-93°F 64%
94-95°F 16%
90-91°F 14%
88-89°F 3%
$13,696 Объем
$13,696 Объем
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
64%
94-95°F
16%
96-97°F
1%
98°F или выше
<1%
92-93°F 64%
94-95°F 16%
90-91°F 14%
88-89°F 3%
$13,696 Объем
$13,696 Объем
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
64%
94-95°F
16%
96-97°F
1%
98°F или выше
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from NOAA and private models point to a peak temperature in the low 90s°F for Miami on August 15, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, strong solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, and a moist tropical air mass with dew points near 75°F that elevates heat indices but caps extreme maxima through scattered afternoon convection. Typical August climatology shows average highs of 88–90°F, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from this baseline, with sea-breeze effects and light easterly flow preventing stronger warming. Trader consensus heavily favors the 92–93°F bin because it aligns with the consensus high-temperature guidance issued in the latest NHC and local NWS briefings, while lower or higher bins reflect smaller probabilities of enhanced cloud cover or rare clear-sky intensification. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will be the key near-term catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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