Recent model consensus from major numerical weather prediction systems points to a daily maximum near 26°C for Istanbul on August 16, driven by moderate northeasterly flow off the Black Sea and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s strong preference for 26°C, as current guidance shows limited potential for significant warming or cooling beyond the 25–27°C range. Mid-August climatology typically features highs of 28–30°C, yet the latest runs indicate slightly suppressed temperatures consistent with regional pressure patterns. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS updates for any shifts in the thermal profile or wind direction that could alter the outcome before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 16 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 16 августа?
26°C 66%
27°C 18%
25°C 15%
24°C 3%
НОВОЕ
$13,406 Объем
НОВОЕ
$13,406 Объем
16 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
15%
26°C
66%
27°C
18%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 66%
27°C 18%
25°C 15%
24°C 3%
НОВОЕ
$13,406 Объем
НОВОЕ
$13,406 Объем
16 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$744 Объем
<1%
23°C
$880 Объем
1%
24°C
$470 Объем
3%
25°C
$1,762 Объем
15%
26°C
$3,466 Объем
66%
27°C
$3,822 Объем
18%
28°C
$550 Объем
3%
29°C
$215 Объем
<1%
30°C
$636 Объем
<1%
31°C
$657 Объем
<1%
32°C or higher
$202 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from major numerical weather prediction systems points to a daily maximum near 26°C for Istanbul on August 16, driven by moderate northeasterly flow off the Black Sea and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s strong preference for 26°C, as current guidance shows limited potential for significant warming or cooling beyond the 25–27°C range. Mid-August climatology typically features highs of 28–30°C, yet the latest runs indicate slightly suppressed temperatures consistent with regional pressure patterns. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS updates for any shifts in the thermal profile or wind direction that could alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$13,406Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from major numerical weather prediction systems points to a daily maximum near 26°C for Istanbul on August 16, driven by moderate northeasterly flow off the Black Sea and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s strong preference for 26°C, as current guidance shows limited potential for significant warming or cooling beyond the 25–27°C range. Mid-August climatology typically features highs of 28–30°C, yet the latest runs indicate slightly suppressed temperatures consistent with regional pressure patterns. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS updates for any shifts in the thermal profile or wind direction that could alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$13,406Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from major numerical weather prediction systems points to a daily maximum near 26°C for Istanbul on August 16, driven by moderate northeasterly flow off the Black Sea and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s strong preference for 26°C, as current guidance shows limited potential for significant warming or cooling beyond the 25–27°C range. Mid-August climatology typically features highs of 28–30°C, yet the latest runs indicate slightly suppressed temperatures consistent with regional pressure patterns. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS updates for any shifts in the thermal profile or wind direction that could alter the outcome before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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