**Recent cooling after a mid-August heatwave is the main driver positioning 18°C as the leading outcome for Paris’s minimum temperature on August 17.** Official forecasts from sources including timeanddate and BBC Weather currently indicate overnight lows near 16°C under partly cloudy skies following daytime highs of 28–30°C, with model consensus reflecting a moderation from earlier extreme heat. This aligns with typical late-summer radiative cooling under lighter winds and reduced cloud cover, though slight variations in timing of frontal passages or urban heat-island effects introduce uncertainty that traders weigh via real-money positions. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely refine these implied probabilities around the 17–18°C range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 17 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Париже 17 августа?
18°C 51%
17°C 22%
16°C или ниже 13%
19°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
13%
17°C
22%
18°C
51%
19°C
11%
20°C
5%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C или выше
<1%
18°C 51%
17°C 22%
16°C или ниже 13%
19°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$130 Объем
13%
17°C
$1,151 Объем
22%
18°C
$337 Объем
51%
19°C
$271 Объем
11%
20°C
$87 Объем
5%
21°C
$81 Объем
2%
22°C
$75 Объем
1%
23°C
$4,480 Объем
<1%
24°C
$392 Объем
<1%
25°C
$228 Объем
<1%
26°C или выше
$228 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent cooling after a mid-August heatwave is the main driver positioning 18°C as the leading outcome for Paris’s minimum temperature on August 17.** Official forecasts from sources including timeanddate and BBC Weather currently indicate overnight lows near 16°C under partly cloudy skies following daytime highs of 28–30°C, with model consensus reflecting a moderation from earlier extreme heat. This aligns with typical late-summer radiative cooling under lighter winds and reduced cloud cover, though slight variations in timing of frontal passages or urban heat-island effects introduce uncertainty that traders weigh via real-money positions. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely refine these implied probabilities around the 17–18°C range.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Объем
$7,459Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent cooling after a mid-August heatwave is the main driver positioning 18°C as the leading outcome for Paris’s minimum temperature on August 17.** Official forecasts from sources including timeanddate and BBC Weather currently indicate overnight lows near 16°C under partly cloudy skies following daytime highs of 28–30°C, with model consensus reflecting a moderation from earlier extreme heat. This aligns with typical late-summer radiative cooling under lighter winds and reduced cloud cover, though slight variations in timing of frontal passages or urban heat-island effects introduce uncertainty that traders weigh via real-money positions. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely refine these implied probabilities around the 17–18°C range.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,459Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent cooling after a mid-August heatwave is the main driver positioning 18°C as the leading outcome for Paris’s minimum temperature on August 17.** Official forecasts from sources including timeanddate and BBC Weather currently indicate overnight lows near 16°C under partly cloudy skies following daytime highs of 28–30°C, with model consensus reflecting a moderation from earlier extreme heat. This aligns with typical late-summer radiative cooling under lighter winds and reduced cloud cover, though slight variations in timing of frontal passages or urban heat-island effects introduce uncertainty that traders weigh via real-money positions. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely refine these implied probabilities around the 17–18°C range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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