Recent forecasts from models and the South African Weather Service indicate mild winter conditions over the Western Cape, with Cape Town's maximum temperature on August 15 likely settling near 19–20°C amid limited cold front activity and moderate solar insolation. Trader consensus clusters here because historical August averages hover around 17–18°C, but current high-pressure dominance and lighter winds could allow slight warming above baseline. Key differentiators between 18°C and 21°C outcomes include variable cloud cover affecting daytime heating, potential sea breeze moderation along the coast, and any late steering of Atlantic systems that might introduce cooler air or increased humidity. Updated ensemble runs in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities, as small shifts in atmospheric stability often determine the precise daily peak on the Celsius scale.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Кейптауне 15 августа?
20°C 33%
19°C 26%
18°C 18%
21°C 12%
14°C или ниже
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
18%
19°C
26%
20°C
33%
21°C
12%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C или выше
<1%
20°C 33%
19°C 26%
18°C 18%
21°C 12%
14°C или ниже
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
18%
19°C
26%
20°C
33%
21°C
12%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C или выше
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and the South African Weather Service indicate mild winter conditions over the Western Cape, with Cape Town's maximum temperature on August 15 likely settling near 19–20°C amid limited cold front activity and moderate solar insolation. Trader consensus clusters here because historical August averages hover around 17–18°C, but current high-pressure dominance and lighter winds could allow slight warming above baseline. Key differentiators between 18°C and 21°C outcomes include variable cloud cover affecting daytime heating, potential sea breeze moderation along the coast, and any late steering of Atlantic systems that might introduce cooler air or increased humidity. Updated ensemble runs in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities, as small shifts in atmospheric stability often determine the precise daily peak on the Celsius scale.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы