Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 13 indicate sunny periods with isolated showers and a maximum temperature range of 27–33°C, positioning the 33°C outcome as the market leader at 42.5% implied probability. Recent subsidence associated with Tropical Cyclone Dolphin has sustained above-normal heat across the region, with prior readings near 37°C reinforcing trader emphasis on the 32–34°C band amid urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2°C locally. Model consensus shows limited disagreement on cloud timing and monsoon flow, which could cap or briefly exceed 34°C depending on convective development. Seasonal outlooks from the Observatory note normal-to-above-normal August temperatures overall, with resolution hinging on the next official daily maximum reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 13 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 13 августа?
33°C 44%
34°C 27%
32°C 22%
31°C 6%
НОВОЕ
$16,229 Объем
НОВОЕ
$16,229 Объем
13 авг. 2026 г.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
22%
33°C
44%
34°C
27%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 44%
34°C 27%
32°C 22%
31°C 6%
НОВОЕ
$16,229 Объем
НОВОЕ
$16,229 Объем
13 авг. 2026 г.
27°C or below
$413 Объем
<1%
28°C
$949 Объем
<1%
29°C
$1,017 Объем
<1%
30°C
$1,533 Объем
1%
31°C
$3,045 Объем
6%
32°C
$1,471 Объем
22%
33°C
$3,285 Объем
44%
34°C
$1,644 Объем
27%
35°C
$2,007 Объем
3%
36°C
$526 Объем
1%
37°C or higher
$340 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 13 indicate sunny periods with isolated showers and a maximum temperature range of 27–33°C, positioning the 33°C outcome as the market leader at 42.5% implied probability. Recent subsidence associated with Tropical Cyclone Dolphin has sustained above-normal heat across the region, with prior readings near 37°C reinforcing trader emphasis on the 32–34°C band amid urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2°C locally. Model consensus shows limited disagreement on cloud timing and monsoon flow, which could cap or briefly exceed 34°C depending on convective development. Seasonal outlooks from the Observatory note normal-to-above-normal August temperatures overall, with resolution hinging on the next official daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$16,229Дата окончания
13 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 13 indicate sunny periods with isolated showers and a maximum temperature range of 27–33°C, positioning the 33°C outcome as the market leader at 42.5% implied probability. Recent subsidence associated with Tropical Cyclone Dolphin has sustained above-normal heat across the region, with prior readings near 37°C reinforcing trader emphasis on the 32–34°C band amid urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2°C locally. Model consensus shows limited disagreement on cloud timing and monsoon flow, which could cap or briefly exceed 34°C depending on convective development. Seasonal outlooks from the Observatory note normal-to-above-normal August temperatures overall, with resolution hinging on the next official daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$16,229Дата окончания
13 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 13 indicate sunny periods with isolated showers and a maximum temperature range of 27–33°C, positioning the 33°C outcome as the market leader at 42.5% implied probability. Recent subsidence associated with Tropical Cyclone Dolphin has sustained above-normal heat across the region, with prior readings near 37°C reinforcing trader emphasis on the 32–34°C band amid urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2°C locally. Model consensus shows limited disagreement on cloud timing and monsoon flow, which could cap or briefly exceed 34°C depending on convective development. Seasonal outlooks from the Observatory note normal-to-above-normal August temperatures overall, with resolution hinging on the next official daily maximum reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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