Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a maximum temperature near 34°C on August 12 amid lingering heat influenced by a subtropical ridge and recent Tropical Cyclone Dolphin effects, with showers expected to moderate peaks. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, but current above-normal seasonal outlooks and urban heat retention support the tight clustering between 33–35°C outcomes. Variable convective activity introduces uncertainty in exact timing and coverage, keeping implied probabilities balanced while lower extremes remain unlikely given persistent warmth and minimal cooling signals through midweek.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 12 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 12 августа?
34°C 36%
33°C 31%
32°C 16%
35°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 авг. 2026 г.
28°C или ниже
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
16%
33°C
31%
34°C
36%
35°C
16%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C или выше
1%
34°C 36%
33°C 31%
32°C 16%
35°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 авг. 2026 г.
28°C или ниже
$227 Объем
<1%
29°C
$431 Объем
<1%
30°C
$43 Объем
1%
31°C
$31 Объем
2%
32°C
$99 Объем
16%
33°C
$589 Объем
31%
34°C
$116 Объем
36%
35°C
$42 Объем
16%
36°C
$42 Объем
3%
37°C
$53 Объем
1%
38°C или выше
$43 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a maximum temperature near 34°C on August 12 amid lingering heat influenced by a subtropical ridge and recent Tropical Cyclone Dolphin effects, with showers expected to moderate peaks. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, but current above-normal seasonal outlooks and urban heat retention support the tight clustering between 33–35°C outcomes. Variable convective activity introduces uncertainty in exact timing and coverage, keeping implied probabilities balanced while lower extremes remain unlikely given persistent warmth and minimal cooling signals through midweek.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$1,592Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a maximum temperature near 34°C on August 12 amid lingering heat influenced by a subtropical ridge and recent Tropical Cyclone Dolphin effects, with showers expected to moderate peaks. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, but current above-normal seasonal outlooks and urban heat retention support the tight clustering between 33–35°C outcomes. Variable convective activity introduces uncertainty in exact timing and coverage, keeping implied probabilities balanced while lower extremes remain unlikely given persistent warmth and minimal cooling signals through midweek.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$1,592Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a maximum temperature near 34°C on August 12 amid lingering heat influenced by a subtropical ridge and recent Tropical Cyclone Dolphin effects, with showers expected to moderate peaks. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, but current above-normal seasonal outlooks and urban heat retention support the tight clustering between 33–35°C outcomes. Variable convective activity introduces uncertainty in exact timing and coverage, keeping implied probabilities balanced while lower extremes remain unlikely given persistent warmth and minimal cooling signals through midweek.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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