Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 12, 2026, project a minimum overnight low of 18°C amid clear skies, light easterly winds, and an ongoing heatwave with daytime highs near 32°C. This consensus from official models and observational trends under high-pressure dominance drives the market's 98.5% implied probability for 18°C as the day's lowest reading. Historical August baselines for the city average around 14–15°C minima, making the current mild-night pattern notable yet supported by sustained warm advection. Traders assign negligible odds to 17°C or lower because ensemble guidance shows limited scope for rapid cooling, though a late shift to increased cloud cover or localized wind could still nudge readings down by 1–2°C before official verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 12 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 12 августа?
18°C 96.8%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
$13,695 Объем
$13,695 Объем
12 авг. 2026 г.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
97%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 96.8%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
$13,695 Объем
$13,695 Объем
12 авг. 2026 г.
12°C or below
$279 Объем
<1%
13°C
$184 Объем
<1%
14°C
$688 Объем
<1%
15°C
$924 Объем
<1%
16°C
$1,293 Объем
1%
17°C
$4,847 Объем
<1%
18°C
$2,210 Объем
97%
19°C
$2,095 Объем
<1%
20°C
$591 Объем
<1%
21°C
$295 Объем
<1%
22°C or higher
$289 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 12, 2026, project a minimum overnight low of 18°C amid clear skies, light easterly winds, and an ongoing heatwave with daytime highs near 32°C. This consensus from official models and observational trends under high-pressure dominance drives the market's 98.5% implied probability for 18°C as the day's lowest reading. Historical August baselines for the city average around 14–15°C minima, making the current mild-night pattern notable yet supported by sustained warm advection. Traders assign negligible odds to 17°C or lower because ensemble guidance shows limited scope for rapid cooling, though a late shift to increased cloud cover or localized wind could still nudge readings down by 1–2°C before official verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$13,695Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 12, 2026, project a minimum overnight low of 18°C amid clear skies, light easterly winds, and an ongoing heatwave with daytime highs near 32°C. This consensus from official models and observational trends under high-pressure dominance drives the market's 98.5% implied probability for 18°C as the day's lowest reading. Historical August baselines for the city average around 14–15°C minima, making the current mild-night pattern notable yet supported by sustained warm advection. Traders assign negligible odds to 17°C or lower because ensemble guidance shows limited scope for rapid cooling, though a late shift to increased cloud cover or localized wind could still nudge readings down by 1–2°C before official verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$13,695Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 12, 2026, project a minimum overnight low of 18°C amid clear skies, light easterly winds, and an ongoing heatwave with daytime highs near 32°C. This consensus from official models and observational trends under high-pressure dominance drives the market's 98.5% implied probability for 18°C as the day's lowest reading. Historical August baselines for the city average around 14–15°C minima, making the current mild-night pattern notable yet supported by sustained warm advection. Traders assign negligible odds to 17°C or lower because ensemble guidance shows limited scope for rapid cooling, though a late shift to increased cloud cover or localized wind could still nudge readings down by 1–2°C before official verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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