Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C on August 13 amid an ongoing heatwave, with ensemble models showing limited overnight cooling under high pressure and light winds. This supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 18°C and 20°C, as subtle differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat-island effects can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Official guidance emphasizes above-average overnight values due to the warm southerly flow, though slight model spread in radiative cooling rates keeps 18°C a plausible alternative if skies clear more than expected. Updated short-range runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will refine the final reading ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 13 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 13 августа?
19°C 38%
20°C 33%
18°C 16%
17°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 авг. 2026 г.
14°C or below
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
16%
19°C
38%
20°C
33%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C или выше
<1%
19°C 38%
20°C 33%
18°C 16%
17°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 авг. 2026 г.
14°C or below
$24 Объем
1%
15°C
$36 Объем
<1%
16°C
$58 Объем
2%
17°C
$218 Объем
7%
18°C
$311 Объем
16%
19°C
$365 Объем
38%
20°C
$1,485 Объем
33%
21°C
$210 Объем
4%
22°C
$84 Объем
2%
23°C
$140 Объем
<1%
24°C или выше
$36 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C on August 13 amid an ongoing heatwave, with ensemble models showing limited overnight cooling under high pressure and light winds. This supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 18°C and 20°C, as subtle differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat-island effects can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Official guidance emphasizes above-average overnight values due to the warm southerly flow, though slight model spread in radiative cooling rates keeps 18°C a plausible alternative if skies clear more than expected. Updated short-range runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will refine the final reading ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$2,966Дата окончания
13 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C on August 13 amid an ongoing heatwave, with ensemble models showing limited overnight cooling under high pressure and light winds. This supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 18°C and 20°C, as subtle differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat-island effects can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Official guidance emphasizes above-average overnight values due to the warm southerly flow, though slight model spread in radiative cooling rates keeps 18°C a plausible alternative if skies clear more than expected. Updated short-range runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will refine the final reading ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,966Дата окончания
13 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C on August 13 amid an ongoing heatwave, with ensemble models showing limited overnight cooling under high pressure and light winds. This supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 18°C and 20°C, as subtle differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat-island effects can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Official guidance emphasizes above-average overnight values due to the warm southerly flow, though slight model spread in radiative cooling rates keeps 18°C a plausible alternative if skies clear more than expected. Updated short-range runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will refine the final reading ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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