High pressure building over the UK is driving subsidence warming and prolonged sunshine, positioning London for a peak temperature of 35–36°C on August 13 according to Met Office guidance and ensemble models. Clear skies and light winds will maximize daytime heating under this setup, while the urban heat-island effect around official stations like London City Airport adds a few tenths of a degree. Minor model disagreements on cloud timing or exact high-pressure positioning create the tight spread between 35°C and 36°C implied probabilities, with slightly lower chances for 34°C or 37°C if timing shifts. Forecasters note the potential for rapid adjustments as short-range data updates before the day’s maximum is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 13 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Лондоне 13 августа?
35°C 43%
36°C 37%
37°C 11%
34°C 10%
НОВОЕ
$23,884 Объем
НОВОЕ
$23,884 Объем
13 авг. 2026 г.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
10%
35°C
43%
36°C
37%
37°C
11%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 43%
36°C 37%
37°C 11%
34°C 10%
НОВОЕ
$23,884 Объем
НОВОЕ
$23,884 Объем
13 авг. 2026 г.
30°C or below
$4,603 Объем
<1%
31°C
$1,502 Объем
<1%
32°C
$922 Объем
<1%
33°C
$1,971 Объем
2%
34°C
$2,956 Объем
10%
35°C
$3,522 Объем
43%
36°C
$4,025 Объем
37%
37°C
$1,778 Объем
11%
38°C
$1,366 Объем
2%
39°C
$665 Объем
1%
40°C or higher
$573 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High pressure building over the UK is driving subsidence warming and prolonged sunshine, positioning London for a peak temperature of 35–36°C on August 13 according to Met Office guidance and ensemble models. Clear skies and light winds will maximize daytime heating under this setup, while the urban heat-island effect around official stations like London City Airport adds a few tenths of a degree. Minor model disagreements on cloud timing or exact high-pressure positioning create the tight spread between 35°C and 36°C implied probabilities, with slightly lower chances for 34°C or 37°C if timing shifts. Forecasters note the potential for rapid adjustments as short-range data updates before the day’s maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Объем
$23,884Дата окончания
13 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High pressure building over the UK is driving subsidence warming and prolonged sunshine, positioning London for a peak temperature of 35–36°C on August 13 according to Met Office guidance and ensemble models. Clear skies and light winds will maximize daytime heating under this setup, while the urban heat-island effect around official stations like London City Airport adds a few tenths of a degree. Minor model disagreements on cloud timing or exact high-pressure positioning create the tight spread between 35°C and 36°C implied probabilities, with slightly lower chances for 34°C or 37°C if timing shifts. Forecasters note the potential for rapid adjustments as short-range data updates before the day’s maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$23,884Дата окончания
13 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...High pressure building over the UK is driving subsidence warming and prolonged sunshine, positioning London for a peak temperature of 35–36°C on August 13 according to Met Office guidance and ensemble models. Clear skies and light winds will maximize daytime heating under this setup, while the urban heat-island effect around official stations like London City Airport adds a few tenths of a degree. Minor model disagreements on cloud timing or exact high-pressure positioning create the tight spread between 35°C and 36°C implied probabilities, with slightly lower chances for 34°C or 37°C if timing shifts. Forecasters note the potential for rapid adjustments as short-range data updates before the day’s maximum is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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