Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 12 point to a daytime maximum of 31–32°C under high pressure, sunny skies, and light easterly winds that favor strong solar heating with minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest trading around 30–31°C (combined 67%), reflecting trader consensus on stable anticyclonic weather rather than a full heatwave. Ensemble models show limited spread, with the primary uncertainty tied to exact timing of any afternoon cloud build-up or minor wind shifts that could trim the peak by 1–2°C. Updated official guidance expected overnight remains the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts before the day’s resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 12 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Лондоне 12 августа?
31°C 40%
30°C 28%
32°C 20.9%
33°C 7%
НОВОЕ
$17,022 Объем
НОВОЕ
$17,022 Объем
12 авг. 2026 г.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
28%
31°C
40%
32°C
21%
33°C
7%
34°C или выше
2%
31°C 40%
30°C 28%
32°C 20.9%
33°C 7%
НОВОЕ
$17,022 Объем
НОВОЕ
$17,022 Объем
12 авг. 2026 г.
24°C or below
$667 Объем
<1%
25°C
$393 Объем
<1%
26°C
$795 Объем
<1%
27°C
$575 Объем
1%
28°C
$869 Объем
3%
29°C
$2,346 Объем
6%
30°C
$4,120 Объем
28%
31°C
$4,078 Объем
40%
32°C
$1,282 Объем
21%
33°C
$949 Объем
7%
34°C или выше
$947 Объем
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 12 point to a daytime maximum of 31–32°C under high pressure, sunny skies, and light easterly winds that favor strong solar heating with minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest trading around 30–31°C (combined 67%), reflecting trader consensus on stable anticyclonic weather rather than a full heatwave. Ensemble models show limited spread, with the primary uncertainty tied to exact timing of any afternoon cloud build-up or minor wind shifts that could trim the peak by 1–2°C. Updated official guidance expected overnight remains the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts before the day’s resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$17,022Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 12 point to a daytime maximum of 31–32°C under high pressure, sunny skies, and light easterly winds that favor strong solar heating with minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest trading around 30–31°C (combined 67%), reflecting trader consensus on stable anticyclonic weather rather than a full heatwave. Ensemble models show limited spread, with the primary uncertainty tied to exact timing of any afternoon cloud build-up or minor wind shifts that could trim the peak by 1–2°C. Updated official guidance expected overnight remains the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts before the day’s resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$17,022Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 12 point to a daytime maximum of 31–32°C under high pressure, sunny skies, and light easterly winds that favor strong solar heating with minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest trading around 30–31°C (combined 67%), reflecting trader consensus on stable anticyclonic weather rather than a full heatwave. Ensemble models show limited spread, with the primary uncertainty tied to exact timing of any afternoon cloud build-up or minor wind shifts that could trim the peak by 1–2°C. Updated official guidance expected overnight remains the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts before the day’s resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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