Hong Kong's subtropical climate in August typically produces overnight lows of 26–28°C amid high humidity and limited radiative cooling, but the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures, combined with current model guidance for cloudy conditions and light showers on August 11, supports a minimum near 29°C as the leading outcome. Recent daily minima around 26°C reflect localized variability from urban heat islands and variable cloud cover, while the absence of strong cold advection or clear skies keeps probabilities concentrated on 28–30°C buckets. Traders weigh the latest short-range forecasts against historical August averages and potential model shifts ahead of the official Hong Kong Observatory reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 11 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 11 августа?
29°C 47%
30°C 28%
28°C 14%
27°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 авг. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
11%
28°C
14%
29°C
47%
30°C
28%
31°C
7%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C или выше
<1%
29°C 47%
30°C 28%
28°C 14%
27°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 авг. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
$34 Объем
<1%
25°C
$0 Объем
1%
26°C
$0 Объем
4%
27°C
$0 Объем
11%
28°C
$31 Объем
14%
29°C
$15 Объем
47%
30°C
$83 Объем
28%
31°C
$0 Объем
7%
32°C
$49 Объем
1%
33°C
$5 Объем
1%
34°C или выше
$140 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's subtropical climate in August typically produces overnight lows of 26–28°C amid high humidity and limited radiative cooling, but the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures, combined with current model guidance for cloudy conditions and light showers on August 11, supports a minimum near 29°C as the leading outcome. Recent daily minima around 26°C reflect localized variability from urban heat islands and variable cloud cover, while the absence of strong cold advection or clear skies keeps probabilities concentrated on 28–30°C buckets. Traders weigh the latest short-range forecasts against historical August averages and potential model shifts ahead of the official Hong Kong Observatory reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$357Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's subtropical climate in August typically produces overnight lows of 26–28°C amid high humidity and limited radiative cooling, but the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures, combined with current model guidance for cloudy conditions and light showers on August 11, supports a minimum near 29°C as the leading outcome. Recent daily minima around 26°C reflect localized variability from urban heat islands and variable cloud cover, while the absence of strong cold advection or clear skies keeps probabilities concentrated on 28–30°C buckets. Traders weigh the latest short-range forecasts against historical August averages and potential model shifts ahead of the official Hong Kong Observatory reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$357Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's subtropical climate in August typically produces overnight lows of 26–28°C amid high humidity and limited radiative cooling, but the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures, combined with current model guidance for cloudy conditions and light showers on August 11, supports a minimum near 29°C as the leading outcome. Recent daily minima around 26°C reflect localized variability from urban heat islands and variable cloud cover, while the absence of strong cold advection or clear skies keeps probabilities concentrated on 28–30°C buckets. Traders weigh the latest short-range forecasts against historical August averages and potential model shifts ahead of the official Hong Kong Observatory reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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