Recent observational data and ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate overnight lows near 28°C for August 8 under persistently warm, humid summer conditions with light winds and high dew points limiting radiative cooling. Hong Kong’s seasonal outlook for August–October 2026 calls for normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid a long-term warming trend, consistent with recent daily minima around 26–27°C and the absence of any significant frontal passage or tropical cyclone influence that could enhance nighttime cooling. Historical August climatology places typical lows at 26–27°C, yet current model consensus and urban heat-island effects support trader pricing that heavily favors 28°C as the minimum, with lower outcomes remaining low-probability tail risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 8 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 8 августа?
28°C 71%
27°C 14%
29°C 11%
26°C 3%
НОВОЕ
$32,795 Объем
НОВОЕ
$32,795 Объем
8 авг. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
14%
28°C
71%
29°C
11%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
28°C 71%
27°C 14%
29°C 11%
26°C 3%
НОВОЕ
$32,795 Объем
НОВОЕ
$32,795 Объем
8 авг. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$598 Объем
<1%
23°C
$613 Объем
<1%
24°C
$683 Объем
<1%
25°C
$1,955 Объем
2%
26°C
$1,390 Объем
3%
27°C
$4,844 Объем
14%
28°C
$11,041 Объем
71%
29°C
$6,980 Объем
11%
30°C
$3,112 Объем
<1%
31°C
$938 Объем
<1%
32°C или выше
$641 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent observational data and ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate overnight lows near 28°C for August 8 under persistently warm, humid summer conditions with light winds and high dew points limiting radiative cooling. Hong Kong’s seasonal outlook for August–October 2026 calls for normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid a long-term warming trend, consistent with recent daily minima around 26–27°C and the absence of any significant frontal passage or tropical cyclone influence that could enhance nighttime cooling. Historical August climatology places typical lows at 26–27°C, yet current model consensus and urban heat-island effects support trader pricing that heavily favors 28°C as the minimum, with lower outcomes remaining low-probability tail risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$32,795Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent observational data and ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate overnight lows near 28°C for August 8 under persistently warm, humid summer conditions with light winds and high dew points limiting radiative cooling. Hong Kong’s seasonal outlook for August–October 2026 calls for normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid a long-term warming trend, consistent with recent daily minima around 26–27°C and the absence of any significant frontal passage or tropical cyclone influence that could enhance nighttime cooling. Historical August climatology places typical lows at 26–27°C, yet current model consensus and urban heat-island effects support trader pricing that heavily favors 28°C as the minimum, with lower outcomes remaining low-probability tail risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$32,795Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data and ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate overnight lows near 28°C for August 8 under persistently warm, humid summer conditions with light winds and high dew points limiting radiative cooling. Hong Kong’s seasonal outlook for August–October 2026 calls for normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid a long-term warming trend, consistent with recent daily minima around 26–27°C and the absence of any significant frontal passage or tropical cyclone influence that could enhance nighttime cooling. Historical August climatology places typical lows at 26–27°C, yet current model consensus and urban heat-island effects support trader pricing that heavily favors 28°C as the minimum, with lower outcomes remaining low-probability tail risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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