Recent forecasts for Taipei indicate a shift from peak summer heat, with highs of 34–35°C on August 6–7 giving way to increased cloud cover, showers, and potential flash flooding on August 8 that could limit daytime warming. Subtropical humidity and typical August climatology support highs near 32–34°C, yet model consensus from sources like the Central Weather Administration and timeanddate points to a daily maximum around 28–30°C amid the rain-cooled boundary layer. Trader positioning, with 32°C or higher at 51.5% implied probability, reflects uncertainty in exact steering patterns and rainfall timing, while the clustered support for 30–31°C captures the risk of modest suppression from convective activity. Updated model runs ahead of the weekend will refine these thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тайбэе 8 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Тайбэе 8 августа?
32°C or higher 52%
31°C 24%
30°C 16%
29°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
10%
30°C
16%
31°C
24%
32°C or higher
52%
32°C or higher 52%
31°C 24%
30°C 16%
29°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$457 Объем
<1%
23°C
$467 Объем
<1%
24°C
$511 Объем
<1%
25°C
$511 Объем
<1%
26°C
$489 Объем
<1%
27°C
$31 Объем
1%
28°C
$506 Объем
2%
29°C
$632 Объем
10%
30°C
$78 Объем
16%
31°C
$125 Объем
24%
32°C or higher
$949 Объем
52%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Taipei indicate a shift from peak summer heat, with highs of 34–35°C on August 6–7 giving way to increased cloud cover, showers, and potential flash flooding on August 8 that could limit daytime warming. Subtropical humidity and typical August climatology support highs near 32–34°C, yet model consensus from sources like the Central Weather Administration and timeanddate points to a daily maximum around 28–30°C amid the rain-cooled boundary layer. Trader positioning, with 32°C or higher at 51.5% implied probability, reflects uncertainty in exact steering patterns and rainfall timing, while the clustered support for 30–31°C captures the risk of modest suppression from convective activity. Updated model runs ahead of the weekend will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$4,755Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Taipei indicate a shift from peak summer heat, with highs of 34–35°C on August 6–7 giving way to increased cloud cover, showers, and potential flash flooding on August 8 that could limit daytime warming. Subtropical humidity and typical August climatology support highs near 32–34°C, yet model consensus from sources like the Central Weather Administration and timeanddate points to a daily maximum around 28–30°C amid the rain-cooled boundary layer. Trader positioning, with 32°C or higher at 51.5% implied probability, reflects uncertainty in exact steering patterns and rainfall timing, while the clustered support for 30–31°C captures the risk of modest suppression from convective activity. Updated model runs ahead of the weekend will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,755Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Taipei indicate a shift from peak summer heat, with highs of 34–35°C on August 6–7 giving way to increased cloud cover, showers, and potential flash flooding on August 8 that could limit daytime warming. Subtropical humidity and typical August climatology support highs near 32–34°C, yet model consensus from sources like the Central Weather Administration and timeanddate points to a daily maximum around 28–30°C amid the rain-cooled boundary layer. Trader positioning, with 32°C or higher at 51.5% implied probability, reflects uncertainty in exact steering patterns and rainfall timing, while the clustered support for 30–31°C captures the risk of modest suppression from convective activity. Updated model runs ahead of the weekend will refine these thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы