Latest high-resolution ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and KNMI HARMONIE models indicate peak 2-meter temperatures in Amsterdam on August 8 most likely reaching 25–26°C under a ridge of high pressure promoting subsidence and modest warm-air advection from the south. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud cover, and surface wind speeds create the narrow spread separating these outcomes, with 24°C favored if marine influence strengthens earlier and 27°C if insolation persists longer. Trader consensus, reflected in the tightly bunched 41% and 33.5% implied probabilities, captures this genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model cycle and official KNMI verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Амстердаме 8 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Амстердаме 8 августа?
25°C 40%
26°C 39%
24°C 16%
27°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 авг. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
16%
25°C
40%
26°C
39%
27°C
8%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C или выше
1%
25°C 40%
26°C 39%
24°C 16%
27°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 авг. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$289 Объем
<1%
22°C
$563 Объем
1%
23°C
$260 Объем
2%
24°C
$1,986 Объем
16%
25°C
$631 Объем
40%
26°C
$474 Объем
39%
27°C
$400 Объем
8%
28°C
$170 Объем
2%
29°C
$268 Объем
1%
30°C
$310 Объем
<1%
31°C или выше
$158 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest high-resolution ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and KNMI HARMONIE models indicate peak 2-meter temperatures in Amsterdam on August 8 most likely reaching 25–26°C under a ridge of high pressure promoting subsidence and modest warm-air advection from the south. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud cover, and surface wind speeds create the narrow spread separating these outcomes, with 24°C favored if marine influence strengthens earlier and 27°C if insolation persists longer. Trader consensus, reflected in the tightly bunched 41% and 33.5% implied probabilities, captures this genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model cycle and official KNMI verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Объем
$5,510Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest high-resolution ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and KNMI HARMONIE models indicate peak 2-meter temperatures in Amsterdam on August 8 most likely reaching 25–26°C under a ridge of high pressure promoting subsidence and modest warm-air advection from the south. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud cover, and surface wind speeds create the narrow spread separating these outcomes, with 24°C favored if marine influence strengthens earlier and 27°C if insolation persists longer. Trader consensus, reflected in the tightly bunched 41% and 33.5% implied probabilities, captures this genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model cycle and official KNMI verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,510Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest high-resolution ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and KNMI HARMONIE models indicate peak 2-meter temperatures in Amsterdam on August 8 most likely reaching 25–26°C under a ridge of high pressure promoting subsidence and modest warm-air advection from the south. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud cover, and surface wind speeds create the narrow spread separating these outcomes, with 24°C favored if marine influence strengthens earlier and 27°C if insolation persists longer. Trader consensus, reflected in the tightly bunched 41% and 33.5% implied probabilities, captures this genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model cycle and official KNMI verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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