Recent official forecasts from PAGASA and AccuWeather indicate Manila highs near 29–31°C on August 9 amid the southwest monsoon, with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers likely capping peaks through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Historical August averages hover around 31°C, but increased convective activity and higher humidity this season have suppressed daily maxima in recent model runs. Key variables include the timing and intensity of rain bands, which can shift maximum readings by 1–2°C, alongside steering winds and urban heat island effects. Market-implied odds cluster around 28–30°C, reflecting trader assessment of these dynamic meteorological factors and remaining forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 9 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Маниле 9 августа?
29°C 35%
30°C 22%
28°C 21%
31°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
21%
29°C
35%
30°C
22%
31°C
9%
32°C
2%
33°C или выше
2%
29°C 35%
30°C 22%
28°C 21%
31°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
$281 Объем
<1%
24°C
$165 Объем
<1%
25°C
$292 Объем
1%
26°C
$52 Объем
3%
27°C
$65 Объем
4%
28°C
$46 Объем
21%
29°C
$109 Объем
35%
30°C
$24 Объем
22%
31°C
$119 Объем
9%
32°C
$54 Объем
2%
33°C или выше
$5 Объем
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from PAGASA and AccuWeather indicate Manila highs near 29–31°C on August 9 amid the southwest monsoon, with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers likely capping peaks through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Historical August averages hover around 31°C, but increased convective activity and higher humidity this season have suppressed daily maxima in recent model runs. Key variables include the timing and intensity of rain bands, which can shift maximum readings by 1–2°C, alongside steering winds and urban heat island effects. Market-implied odds cluster around 28–30°C, reflecting trader assessment of these dynamic meteorological factors and remaining forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Объем
$1,212Дата окончания
9 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from PAGASA and AccuWeather indicate Manila highs near 29–31°C on August 9 amid the southwest monsoon, with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers likely capping peaks through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Historical August averages hover around 31°C, but increased convective activity and higher humidity this season have suppressed daily maxima in recent model runs. Key variables include the timing and intensity of rain bands, which can shift maximum readings by 1–2°C, alongside steering winds and urban heat island effects. Market-implied odds cluster around 28–30°C, reflecting trader assessment of these dynamic meteorological factors and remaining forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,212Дата окончания
9 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from PAGASA and AccuWeather indicate Manila highs near 29–31°C on August 9 amid the southwest monsoon, with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers likely capping peaks through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Historical August averages hover around 31°C, but increased convective activity and higher humidity this season have suppressed daily maxima in recent model runs. Key variables include the timing and intensity of rain bands, which can shift maximum readings by 1–2°C, alongside steering winds and urban heat island effects. Market-implied odds cluster around 28–30°C, reflecting trader assessment of these dynamic meteorological factors and remaining forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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