**Trader sentiment for Manila's highest temperature on August 8 centers on the southwest monsoon (habagat) driving persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that moderate daytime heating.** Official PAGASA outlooks indicate a 25–31°C range with a 29°C high forecast, aligning with the market's leading 29°C outcome at 49.5% implied probability. August climatology features typical highs near 31°C, but frequent rain and high humidity often suppress peaks by 1–3°C through reduced solar insolation. Recent model consensus and current conditions show no strong ridge or clear skies to push values to 30°C or above, explaining the combined 78% probability on 28–29°C. Updated forecast guidance and any shifts in monsoon intensity over the next 24 hours represent the key variables that could adjust these odds before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 8 августа?
29°C 50%
28°C 33%
30°C 15%
31°C 3%
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
33%
29°C
50%
30°C
15%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C или выше
<1%
29°C 50%
28°C 33%
30°C 15%
31°C 3%
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
33%
29°C
50%
30°C
15%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Manila's highest temperature on August 8 centers on the southwest monsoon (habagat) driving persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that moderate daytime heating.** Official PAGASA outlooks indicate a 25–31°C range with a 29°C high forecast, aligning with the market's leading 29°C outcome at 49.5% implied probability. August climatology features typical highs near 31°C, but frequent rain and high humidity often suppress peaks by 1–3°C through reduced solar insolation. Recent model consensus and current conditions show no strong ridge or clear skies to push values to 30°C or above, explaining the combined 78% probability on 28–29°C. Updated forecast guidance and any shifts in monsoon intensity over the next 24 hours represent the key variables that could adjust these odds before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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